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Over/under wins for Yu Darvish: 17.5

4/2/2013

Las Vegas is busy setting over/under marks on a variety of players, and I've seen where some even have an over/under of 13.5 or 14.5 wins for Yu Darvish. But after winning 16 games in his rookie year, I think most of us would take the over on that.

What if we set that number at 17.5? You've either got to pick more than 17 wins or 17 or fewer. That's not quite as easy, is it?

Darvish takes the mound Tuesday night for his first start of the season. He comes in with momentum after a strong finish to the final two months of the 2012 campaign. Darvish was 5-1 with a 2.35 ERA in his last eight outings -- all of them quality starts. He dropped his walk rate and kept striking guys out with regularity. He became a dominant pitcher.

Can he sustain that for an entire season? Maybe. But he doesn't necessarily have to do that. If he continue to put up quality starts, the rest of it can take care of itself. Darvish didn't have health issues in 2012, outside of one skipped start because of a sore neck. He's in terrific shape and was extremely consistent and solid in spring training.

As I've said on ESPN Dallas 103.3 FM for weeks (look out, here goes a plug for the Fitzsimmons & Durrett show 11 a.m. to 3 p.m. weekdays) and on this blog, I believe Darvish is ready to ascend to the top tier of starting in the American League. We're talking Cy Young conversation, folks. So of course, I'm taking the over, even on 17.5 wins.

Your turn. Is that too high for Darvish wins? If the over/under is 17.5, are you taking the over or the under? Please tell us why.