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Wednesday, June 21, 2006
Papelbon is a perfect fit in 'pen

By Bill Simmons
Page 2

Editor's note: This article appears in the July 3 issue of ESPN The Magazine.

Trick question: Who was the best sixth man in NBA history?

Answer: Larry Bird. The Basketball Jesus missed five games in March 1982 after absorbing an errant elbow. The C's played so well without him -- they ended up winning 18 straight -- that when he was ready to return, coach Bill Fitch brought him off the bench for a few weeks. Bird loved it. The Man even wrote in his autobiography, "Drive" (or as I like to call it, The Modern-Day Bible), "If I was going to be a sixth man all the time, I think it would have been a great role."

Jonathan Papelbon
Boston's favorite new role player -- Jonathan Papelbon.
Why didn't Fitch keep him in that role for the playoffs? Because that would have been absolutely insane, that's why. Bird finished second in the MVP voting that season; you want a guy like that playing as much as possible. But it was the ultimate test of the "If it ain't broke, don't fix it" theory in sports. At what point does logic override success?

Twenty-four years later, another Boston team is asking the same question. The 2006 Red Sox MVP happens to be a rookie, a potential 20-game winner who hasn't started a single game this season. Instead, he's been moonlighting in the closer role, almost like a bartender waiting tables for a few days because two of the waitresses are sick. Now, a few days have turned into a few months. Will he ever go back to bartending? That's the big question.

I'm talking about Jonathan Papelbon, the baby-faced assassin who has single-handedly kept my team's playoff hopes alive and prevented a Boston Strangler-level panic attack in New England. When Terry Francona opted for Papelbon over floundering Keith Foulke to close the third game in April, Red Sox Nation braced for a closer controversy. It never came. Paps got the next save chance. And the next one. And the next one. By early June, Paps had converted 20 straight and evolved into a Rivera-esque weapon, someone who gets you more than three outs if necessary and seems equally unperturbed in sold-out Yankee Stadium or lifeless Tropicana Field. He's the best player on the team. There's no question.

Here's the catch: Papelbon's ceiling as a starter has been compared to that of everyone from (a healthy) Mark Prior to Roger Clemens. And baseball experts unanimously agree that a great starter is more important than a great closer, if only because we're talking about 220 to 250 innings instead of 70 to 80. Starters have more value. Starters have longer careers. Starters earn more money than closers. No team that ever employed Clemens, Pedro, Greg Maddux or Bob Gibson said, after the fact, "Man, it's too bad we didn't make him a closer." Yes, Jonathan Papelbon should join Boston's starting rotation some day. It's the logical move. It's the only move.

So why do I find myself hoping they don't make it?

I've always believed closers are like girlfriends: You remember the great ones, you remember the awful ones and you vaguely remember everyone in between. (You could say the same about hockey goalies and field goal kickers.) Over the past 30 years, only three closers have stood out for my beloved Red Sox: two train wrecks (Mark Clear and Bob Stanley) and one postseason hero (Foulke). We haven't had anyone who remotely resembles young Paps. Over the past 12 weeks, what is most striking is not his confounding résumé -- through 66 games, he's allowed 23 baserunners in 34 1/3 innings and chalked up 34 K's and just four walks, with 22 saves in 23 chances and an outrageous 0.26 ERA -- but the way he carries himself, the body language of the batters and his stuff.

I hate the phrase "electric stuff" because it's overused and sounds like someone is describing a bag of marijuana. But Papelbon has electric stuff. Nobody hits him. He's strong enough to pitch two innings, talented enough to dominate the same opponent three times in a week, competitive enough to embrace the role, goofy enough to shave his hair into a Mohawk after winning a bet. Basically, he has Clemens' stuff, Rivera's composure and Ricky "Wild Thing" Vaughn's personality. He's the perfect closer. What's happening is not a fluke.

Jonathan Papelbon & Jason Varitek
"Well done, Jonathan."
And he knows it. Papelbon's saves unfold the same way: strike after strike, some feeble swings, at least one punchout, a giddy fist pump when it's over. He invariably strikes out the last guy for dramatic effect. My favorite running subplot has been the postgame greeting between Papelbon and Jason Varitek, who jogs to the mound with an impressed smile, followed by an awkward high five and Tek's rubbing his head like a proud dad. (You can almost imagine him saying, "Well done, Jonathan," in a stern voice, like a rich dad congratulating his preppie son on a good report card.) He's failed only one time: the eighth inning of a potential four-out save at Fenway, when the Rangers' Hank Blalock slapped an RBI single on a 1-2 pitch. Of course, the Sox regained the lead, and a ticked-off Papelbon struck out the side for the victory. It was the kind of thing Rivera would have done.

And that's the right comparison: Mariano Rivera. We have watched dozens of quality relievers over the years, but only a few were dominant forces: Rivera, Goose Gossage, Bruce Sutter, Eric Gagné, K-Rod. That's about it. You can always overspend for Billy Wagner or call up someone like Chris Ray, but how far will that get you? Can we even quantify Rivera's worth compared with that of the average closer? Was there a more indispensable player over the past decade, a bigger disparity between the No. 1 and the No. 2 guys at any other position? We rarely consider closers as MVP candidates, but name another player who came through in the playoffs more times. With the way October baseball works in the 21st century -- three rounds and 19 possible games over four weeks -- an extraordinary reliever might be the single greatest asset for any team.

Check out Rivera's postseason stats: 72 appearances, 111 2/3 innings, 86 baserunners, 87 K's, an 8-1 record with 34 saves and 0.81 ERA, four rings. During the Yankees' six World Series seasons, Rivera pitched 87 1/3 pressure innings in 55 games and gave up nine runs. Who else could have done that?

Every Yankee diehard says the same thing: As long as we have Rivera and Derek Jeter, the other 23 guys don't matter; we'll always be in the hunt. That's why Rivera's presence transcends his implausible numbers. When the Yanks lead after seven innings, the urgency of the opposing team is palpable: We need to score right now … or else. Rivera has loomed over every Yankee lead for an entire decade, the grim reaper waiting to be unleashed.

For the past 12 weeks, the same could be said about Papelbon. After saving his 22nd game, for Josh Beckett, a grateful Beckett told The Boston Globe, "He's been phenomenal. He's been the glue for us down there. As long as things keep jelling like that, I don't see any situation where I would bring him out of that role."

Agreed. I like feeling safe in the ninth, holding a trump card in every close game -- one who thrives in his particular job more than anyone else at any other position. Maybe it defies all logic, but I hope Jonathan Papelbon stays my team's closer for the next 15 years.

Some things are just meant to be.

Bill Simmons is a columnist for Page 2 and ESPN The Magazine. His book "Now I Can Die In Peace is available on Amazon.com and in bookstores everywhere.