Insider: A-Rod Will Break HR Mark

Peter Keating disagrees with Nat Silver. A-Rod will get there.

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How much is in the tank? (And what, exactly, is in the tank?)

If you stopped by this site earlier this week, you know that Nate Silver of Baseball Prospectus made his debut contribution to ESPN by postulating that Alex Rodriguez would not match the current home run mark held by Barry Bonds. It caused something of a stir, as you can imagine—the comments are probably too hot for TV. On his new blog another one of our writers, Peter Keating, today wrote up his own theory on where A-Rod will get by the time his career is winding down. Hint: He doesn't agree with Silver. Your task: Read 'em both and see which side you agree with.

SILVER: A-ROD WON'T BREAK HOME RUN MARK

KEATING: OH YES HE WILL

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