Fantasy All-Stars: It's all about value
We all want to look smart.
Isn't that one of the reasons we play this game in the first place? To show off our baseball knowledge and indicate we know more than our peers about who is going to produce and who is not?
That's why you could call this the "All-Made-my-fantasy-owner-look-smart" team. Your fellow owners will dismiss you and say you were just lucky, but you give them a wink and a nod and say you knew it all along.
This is the roster of fantasy value all-stars, the guys who are helping owners win their fantasy leagues. These are the guys who were given short shrift in most drafts, yet have far exceeded most expectations. It's not who has had the best season thus far, but who has brought the most bang for the buck compared to where he was drafted.
To help determine the roster, I'll compare the final average draft position (ADP) for all ESPN leagues, and cross-reference it with a ranking based on a mathematical calculation of earned fantasy value (EVR) through the end of June in 12-team mixed leagues.
When examining the roster, we'll take a look at the key question when analyzing any midseason list of players who have performed well: Can they keep it up? As with almost any above-average performance in the first half of the season, some normal regression is expected over the balance of the season in most cases. The question is whether or not we have any 2007 Jeremy Guthries in the mix. Guthrie, if you remember, had a 2.74 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP before the All-Star break. He gave his owners a 5.03 and 1.62 after.
Jason Grey is a graduate of the MLB Scouting Bureau's Scout Development Program and has won two Tout Wars titles, one LABR title and numerous other national "experts" competitions.