July 10, 2008, 3:01 PM

Sixty Feet, Six Inches: Who's next to get dealt?

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Harris By Christopher Harris
ESPN.com
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CC Sabathia went to the Brewers and Rich Harden went to the Cubs. Each man has his fatal flaw (Harden gets hurt every time he sneezes; Sabathia weighs three bills and is a free-agent-to-be), which explains why we haven't seen kings' ransoms paid for these two leading hurlers. Who's next among starting pitchers? And will anyone bring the kind of organization-shaping haul that, for example, Johan Santana brought to the Twins this winter? (In short: probably not.)

A.J. Burnett
Tom Szczerbowski/US PRESSWIREA.J. Burnett does have nine wins, but the 5.23 ERA and 1.51 WHIP are not as enticing.
A.J. Burnett, Blue Jays: As I see it, the big impediments to Burnett getting dealt are twofold. First, GM J.P. Ricciardi is hanging on by his last fingernail, and probably won't give up on the '08 season of his own volition. Second, Burnett has an opt-out clause on the two years and $24 million he has left on his contract. In other words: If he gets dealt and is terrible, that new team is stuck with him at $12 million per year. If he's dealt and is great, Burnett will leave for yet another team for more money. But if Ricciardi gets canned, Burnett probably gets moved.

Erik Bedard, Mariners: They hate him in Seattle: He won't talk to the press, and he's the poster child for perhaps the most underperforming big-dollar team in MLB history. But there are two problems here, too. First, he's hurt. He's had a bad back for most of the year; now his shoulder aches, and he won't pitch again until after the All-Star break. Second, the M's gave up a tremendous haul to get him this winter and would look stupid taking 50 cents on the dollar for him now. Bedard is signed for one more year after this one.

Derek Lowe, Dodgers: He's an impending free agent, but the Dodgers are in the thick of the terrible NL West. It seems pretty unlikely that he'd get dealt unless the bottom falls out in L.A. Lowe nearly pitched a perfect game Wednesday, so he's looking like he'll stay in SoCal.

Randy Wolf, Padres: His good start earlier this week reversed a recent bad trend, and if the Padres can find a landing spot with which he'd be happy, a move will happen. The rub here is that Wolf can reportedly veto a trade to as many as 14 clubs.

Greg Maddux, Padres: Maddux has full no-trade protection, so he'd have to give his blessing. It seems like it'd have to be a West Coast team, or maybe Chicago. If either of these Padres starters gets dealt, the change in home park will certainly have a negative effect on their respective fantasy values.

Bronson Arroyo, Reds: Arroyo is relatively affordable for two more years after this one ($9.5 million in '09, $11 million in '10). While he's been unbelievably up-and-down, he'd eat innings for a contender. Arroyo probably gets more attractive, fantasy-wise, if he can get out of the bandbox in Cincy.

Joe Blanton, A's: Blanton has been a terrible surprise for Oakland: After posting a 3.95 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in '07, he's up to 4.76 and 1.41 here in '08. He's arbitration-eligible in both '09 and '10, making him a bit more attractive than Arroyo if he could get his act together. As will likely happen to Harden, Blanton would lose some value leaving Oakland's mammoth foul ground.

Keep in mind that the guy we know is going to wind up in a new city is Freddy Garcia, and he could make an interesting second-half acquisition for fantasy teams. He's already been linked to teams like the Astros, Tigers, White Sox, Mets, Yankees, Red Sox and Rays. While he's coming off major shoulder surgery, he certainly has the pedigree to be a pennant-race contributor.

Comings and goings

Top 60 Starting Pitchers

With the last full rankings three weeks ago, there is no "last rank" this time around. But John Lackey is new to the top 10. (This list is meant to capture value from this point to the end of the season.)

1. Johan Santana, Mets
2. Brandon Webb, Diamondbacks
3. Cole Hamels, Phillies
4. Jake Peavy, Padres
5. Josh Beckett, Red Sox
6. CC Sabathia, Brewers
7. Dan Haren, Diamondbacks
8. Roy Halladay, Blue Jays
9. John Lackey, Angels
10. Tim Lincecum, Giants
11. Felix Hernandez, Mariners
12. Scott Kazmir, Rays
13. Carlos Zambrano, Cubs
14. Tim Hudson, Braves
15. Justin Verlander, Tigers
16. Ben Sheets, Brewers
17. Erik Bedard, Mariners
18. Daisuke Matsuzaka, Red Sox
19. James Shields, Rays
20. Edinson Volquez, Reds
21. Chad Billingsley, Dodgers
22. Cliff Lee, Indians
23. Matt Cain, Giants
24. John Maine, Mets
25. Javier Vazquez, White Sox
26. Zack Greinke, Royals
27. Ervin Santana, Angels
28. Jered Weaver, Angels
29. Joba Chamberlain, Yankees
30. Joe Saunders, Angels
31. Rich Harden, Cubs
32. Roy Oswalt, Astros
33. A.J. Burnett, Blue Jays
34. Justin Duchscherer, A's
35. Ted Lilly, Cubs
36. Fausto Carmona, Indians
37. Jon Lester, Red Sox
38. Randy Johnson, Diamondbacks
39. John Danks, White Sox
40. Jeremy Guthrie, Orioles
41. Derek Lowe, Dodgers
42. Ryan Dempster, Cubs
43. Jonathan Sanchez, Giants
44. Pedro Martinez, Mets
45. Andy Pettitte, Yankees
46. Matt Garza, Rays
47. Greg Maddux, Padres
48. Adam Wainwright, Cardinals
49. Shaun Marcum, Blue Jays
50. Chris Young, Padres
51. Gil Meche, Royals
52. Clay Buchholz, Red Sox
53. Brett Myers, Phillies
54. Joe Blanton, A's
55. Jair Jurrjens, Braves
56. Francisco Liriano, Twins
57. Kevin Slowey, Twins
58. Aaron Cook, Rockies
59. Hiroki Kuroda, Dodgers
60. Scott Baker, Twins
Erik Bedard has been shut down with a sore shoulder until after the All-Star break. Bedard had been bothered by a bad back, and it's possible he hurt his shoulder compensating for the back injury. In advance of Felix Hernandez coming off the DL to start Friday against the Royals, Bedard landed on the DL on Thursday, retroactive to July 5. Right now, the Mariners plan on Bedard's next start coming around July 21, according to the Seattle Post-Intelligencer. ... Fausto Carmona threw in the bullpen on Tuesday and is scheduled to throw a simulated game for the Indians on Thursday. Manager Eric Wedge told the Cleveland Plain Dealer that he thinks his new No. 1 pitcher (with Sabathia gone) could be back by the end of July. ... Roy Oswalt got a painkilling injection in his sciatic nerve Monday and is scheduled to face the Nationals on Thursday. ... Dustin McGowan left his start Tuesday night because of a sore shoulder, and he went on the DL on Wednesday. According to the Toronto Globe and Mail, the Blue Jays have determined that McGowan has a tear in his rotator cuff, and "surgery is a possibility." As it is, McGowan will miss at least four weeks, whereupon the Blue Jays will re-evaluate him. ... Aaron Harang is scheduled to undergo an MRI after feeling pain in his pitching forearm in his bad start Tuesday. It's the second time Harang has had forearm trouble this season, but he told the Cincinnati Enquirer that the discomfort this time isn't related to the previous episode. ... Ian Snell came off the DL for the Pirates on Tuesday and took 88 pitches to get through just 3 2/3 innings. He had missed three weeks because of a sore pitching elbow. ... The Cardinals reported encouraging news to the team's official Web site about two injured starters. Adam Wainwright's finger is improved enough for him to start throwing off a mound Thursday or Friday, while Chris Carpenter pitched a simulated game Tuesday and could go on a minor-league rehab assignment next week. The team believes each man could return in early August if they don't experience setbacks. ... The Dodgers' Brad Penny has slowed down his return timetable after he experienced soreness in his pitching shoulder again and received a cortisone injection for the pain. Joe Torre told the Los Angeles Times that he doesn't expect Penny to begin a minor league stint until after the All-Star break. ... The Marlins called up Chris Volstad from the minors on Sunday and plan on doing so Thursday with Josh Johnson. As a result, Ryan Tucker and Mark Hendrickson will move into the bullpen. Johnson is scheduled to start Thursday against the Dodgers in his first big league outing since Tommy John surgery last August. Meanwhile, Volstad, who earned the win Sunday after pitching two relief innings, will make his first career major league start Friday. ... Rangers rookie Matt Harrison won his major league debut Tuesday, allowing two runs in seven innings against the division-leading Angels. Harrison was replacing a fellow rookie, Eric Hurley, who's on the DL because of a sore hamstring. Harrison gets the division-leading White Sox next. ... Speaking of Rangers, Vicente Padilla was scratched from his start Wednesday because of a sore neck and a bruised thumb and was subsequently placed on the 15-day DL. The Rangers expect him back right after the All-Star break. ... Meanwhile, teammate Kevin Millwood is having his next start pushed back a day because of a strained groin. He'll start Saturday instead of Friday, provided he doesn't continue to feel more pain, according to the Dallas Morning News. ... The Brewers placed Jeff Suppan on the DL with irritation in his elbow, though there's some suspicion among Milwaukee beat writers that Suppan was given time off because he's been struggling lately, and the team didn't want to move Dave Bush or Seth McClung when Sabathia came to town. ... Bartolo Colon has had a slight setback in his rehab from an oblique injury and will stop throwing until this weekend. Colon still may wind up being an option in the Red Sox rotation in the second half, but with Clay Buchholz replacing Justin Masterson (who's headed to the minors to become a reliever), the urgency isn't there yet. ... The Pirates sent struggling lefty Tom Gorzelanny to Triple-A last weekend, which makes sense, considering he's walked 61 hitters in 87 2/3 innings. ... Mark Mulder started his first big league game of the year Wednesday, and he lasted all of 16 pitches. He struck out Jimmy Rollins, then walked two batters, was visited by the Cardinals' trainer and came out. Mulder's shoulder is hurt again, and he isn't a fantasy option. ... Forget about Kelvim Escobar for this year; after suffering severe pain in his shoulder last week, he now looks set to have season-ending surgery.

On The Farm

Brett Myers pitched well Monday at Triple-A, allowing three runs in 7 1/3 innings, and afterward told the Philadelphia Inquirer that he thinks he'll be back in Philly after the All-Star break. Of course, he didn't say how long after the break. ... Anibal Sanchez pitched in a Class A game for the Marlins on Tuesday, allowing two runs in 4 1/3 innings and reporting to the Miami Herald that his shoulder felt good. The Marlins think they could get him back by next month. ... An MRI revealed that Dontrelle Willis, who's currently languishing deep in the Tigers system, has patellar tendinitis in his right knee. According to the Detroit Free Press, Willis has been fitted for a brace and is expected to start pitching again for Class A Lakeland this week. ... Matt Ginter may get a spot start for the Indians this weekend in Sabathia's old rotation slot. ... Rich Hill finally had some success in a Rookie League start early this week, going four innings, fanning six and walking just one. The Cubs probably aren't counting on anything from him for the rest of the year, though.

Christopher Harris is a fantasy baseball, football and racing analyst for ESPN.com. He is a six-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner across all three of those sports. You can e-mail him here.