Sixty Feet, Six Inches: Five underowned starters for the stretch
September roster expansion is just a few days away, and there's no question that if you need a starting pitcher, guys like Max Scherzer, Jon Niese and Brandon Morrow should be on your radar screen. (David Price probably will earn a call-up but is unlikely to see starts unless Edwin Jackson and/or Andy Sonnanstine spit the bit.) But my friend and colleague Jason Grey already did a tremendous job breaking down likely September call-ups, so I won't repeat his fine work. Instead, let's look at my favorite starters who are owned in less than 50 percent of ESPN.com leagues and figure out which ones can help you down the stretch. (And for heaven's sake: Rich Hill is still owned in 12 percent of leagues. I'm going to say there's room for improvement on some teams out there.)
1. Kevin Slowey, Twins: I sell this guy hard nearly every week in our online fantasy show, and his ownership is all the way up to about 50 percent. Yes, those of you who need a bracing jolt of strikeouts might have to look elsewhere, though I'm pleasantly surprised to say that in the past month, Slowey has a respectable 27 K's in 31 innings. But this is a guy who has more than 10 wins, and in the American League, an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.07 is nothing to sneeze at. He's allowed only 17 walks in 127 2/3 innings. Add him.
2. Josh Johnson, Marlins: Johnson threw the first complete game of his career Wednesday, a four-hit effort against the Braves. With all the Tommy John returnees this year (Francisco Liriano, Chris Carpenter, B.J. Ryan, Carl Pavano, et al), Johnson got lost in the shuffle, but Liriano's late-coming heroics notwithstanding, Johnson may have been the best of the bunch this year: four wins, 48 K's in 57 2/3 innings, a 3.12 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP so far. He's owned in less than 40 percent of ESPN leagues.
Top 60 Starting Pitchers
Brett Myers just keeps zooming up the list after his brief stint in the minors. (This list is meant to capture value from this point to the end of the season, with last week's ranking in parentheses.)
| 1. Johan Santana, Mets (1) |
| 2. CC Sabathia, Brewers (2) |
| 3. Brandon Webb, Diamondbacks (3) |
| 4. Roy Halladay, Blue Jays (5) |
| 5. Jake Peavy, Padres (4) |
| 6. Dan Haren, Diamondbacks (6) |
| 7. Cole Hamels, Phillies (7) |
| 8. Tim Lincecum, Giants (8) |
| 9. John Lackey, Angels (9) |
| 10. Chad Billingsley, Dodgers (10) |
| 11. Felix Hernandez, Mariners (11) |
| 12. Cliff Lee, Indians (13) |
| 13. Ben Sheets, Brewers (14) |
| 14. Rich Harden, Cubs (17) |
| 15. Carlos Zambrano, Cubs (12) |
| 16. Josh Beckett, Red Sox (22) |
| 17. Jon Lester, Red Sox (15) |
| 18. James Shields, Rays (16) |
| 19. Matt Cain, Giants (18) |
| 20. Scott Kazmir, Rays (19) |
| 21. Ervin Santana, Angels (20) |
| 22. Francisco Liriano, Twins (25) |
| 23. Daisuke Matsuzaka, Red Sox (21) |
| 24. A.J. Burnett, Blue Jays (23) |
| 25. Javier Vazquez, White Sox (24) |
| 26. Justin Verlander, Tigers (26) |
| 27. Edinson Volquez, Reds (27) |
| 28. Ryan Dempster, Cubs (28) |
| 29. Brett Myers, Phillies (46) |
| 30. Zack Greinke, Royals (31) |
| 31. Ted Lilly, Cubs (32) |
| 32. Derek Lowe, Dodgers (33) |
| 33. Jeremy Guthrie, Orioles (34) |
| 34. Randy Johnson, Diamondbacks (35) |
| 35. Adam Wainwright, Cardinals (52) |
| 36. Jered Weaver, Angels (38) |
| 37. John Danks, White Sox (36) |
| 38. Mike Mussina, Yankees (37) |
| 39. Gil Meche, Royals (39) |
| 40. Roy Oswalt, Astros (40) |
| 41. Matt Garza, Rays (41) |
| 42. Oliver Perez, Mets (42) |
| 43. Andy Pettitte, Yankees (43) |
| 44. Fausto Carmona, Indians (47) |
| 45. Ricky Nolasco, Marlins (54) |
| 46. Joe Saunders, Angels (30) |
| 47. Mike Pelfrey, Mets (NR) |
| 48. Kevin Slowey, Twins (50) |
| 49. Mark Buehrle, White Sox (45) |
| 50. Jair Jurrjens, Braves (44) |
| 51. Scott Baker, Twins (49) |
| 52. Dave Bush, Brewers (55) |
| 53. Manny Parra, Brewers (53) |
| 54. Joba Chamberlain, Yankees (48) |
| 55. Josh Johnson, Marlins (57) |
| 56. Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers (51) |
| 57. Ubaldo Jimenez, Rockies (56) |
| 58. Paul Maholm, Pirates (60) |
| 59. Braden Looper, Cardinals (NR) |
| 60. Gavin Floyd, White Sox (NR) |
4. Paul Maholm, Pirates: Maholm has been studly since the end of May: 2.90 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and a 72/24 K/BB ratio in 105 2/3 innings. Granted, he's a Pirate, so his wins are extremely limited (he has eight all season), and because he's nearing his career high in innings pitched, there's a chance the team will shut him down toward the end of next month. But until then, you can expect at least four or five more starts out of him, beginning Saturday against the Brewers.
5. Gil Meche, Royals. Though he's still owned in only about 30 percent of leagues, Meche's high strikeouts have easily made him one of the 30 most valuable starters in fantasy the past month. Throw away his five bad starts in April, and Meche's season line looks like this: 3.37 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 119 K's in 138 2/3 IP. Unlike Slowey, Bush and Maholm, Meche is a legit strikeout producer, so although his WHIP isn't as impressive as that of those other pitchers, he can help you make up a spot or two in whiffs before September ends.
The Mets will promote Jon Niese from Triple-A, and he's likely to start Tuesday against the Brewers. He'll make his major league debut and replace John Maine in New York's rotation. Brandon Morrow is likely to come up and make a major league start against the Yankees sometime between Sept. 5 and Sept. 7, according to the Seattle Post-Intelligencer. The Boston Herald reports that Bartolo Colon is scheduled to throw between 65 and 75 pitches Sunday for Triple-A Pawtucket, and if the outing goes well, it could be his last in the minors. Bryan Morris, whom the Pirates acquired from the Dodgers in the Manny Ramirez and Jason Bay trade, has been shut down for the rest of the season at Class-A Hickory because of pain in his biceps. It's not considered a serious injury, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (and only one week remained in Hickory's season). The Tigers recalled Chris Lambert, a former first-round pick of the Cardinals, to make his major league debut Tuesday. The Indians lit him up, and Detroit sent Lambert back down to Triple-A, but Jim Leyland told reporters he expects to recall Lambert to make a start Tuesday against the Royals. Homer Bailey was diagnosed with a "mild sprain" of the MCL in his right knee, according to the Cincinnati Enquirer, and will miss his scheduled start for Triple-A Louisville on Thursday. Dontrelle Willis made just 15 pitches in his Triple-A start Monday before having to leave the game with forearm tightness.
Christopher Harris is a fantasy baseball, football and racing analyst for ESPN.com. He is a six-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner across all three of those sports. You can e-mail him here.
