Daily Notes: Cabrera under control?

Updated: April 29, 2007, 9:33 PM ET
By Adam Madison | Special to ESPN.com

Fantasy Game Notes for Monday: American League
Comerica Park (outdoor) 7:05 p.m. ET (60 percent chance of rain, low of 58 degrees)
Daniel Cabrera, RHP (1-2) versus Jeremy Bonderman, RHP (0-0)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: His numbers might not fully prove it yet (4.09 ERA, 1.36 WHIP), but Cabrera is a stud. He is striking out 8 1/2 batters per inning, and the prior control problems seem gone; his walk rate is now actually below average. More importantly, he has allowed just one home run in 33 innings. With Bonderman on the mound for Detroit, this game shapes up to be a fine pitching duel.

Rogers Centre (indoor/retractable roof) 7:07 p.m. ET
Vicente Padilla, RHP (0-3) versus Roy Halladay, RHP (3-0)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: With five home runs allowed and a 10-to-16 strikeout-to-walk ratio, Padilla probably has been lucky his ERA isn't higher than the 5.79 anchor he's toting. There's no reason his struggles shouldn't continue, giving you reason to play guys such as Lyle Overbay and Adam Lind. For the Rangers, there's no reason to expect much from their bats with Halladay on the mound.

Kauffman Stadium (outdoor) 8:10 p.m. ET (partly cloudy, with a low of 67 degrees)
John Lackey, RHP (3-2) versus Odalis Perez, LHP (2-2)

Notable Injuries: Garret Anderson, OF (hip, day-to-day)

Game Story: Lackey is the prototypical power pitcher: An elite strikeout pitcher with a stingy home run rate, so a couple of walks or hits hurt a lot less than they otherwise would. The Royals don't have the lineup to offer Lackey any trouble. Perez has allowed only one home run but has been hittable in every other area. A strikeout rate of less than four means success is hard to achieve, so expect the Angels to do well.

Fantasy Game Notes for Monday: National League

PNC Park (outdoor) 7:05 p.m. ET (30 percent chance of rain, low of 49 degrees)
Ted Lilly, LHP (2-2) versus Zach Duke, LHP (1-2)

Notable Injuries: Xavier Nady, OF (hamstring, day-to-day)

Game Story: Lilly has been nearly perfect in April, with his peripherals matching his ERA. His career suggests a significant decline, but for now, he's facing an anemic Pirates lineup that doesn't hit well at home and might be down one of its better players in Nady. The Cubs haven't faced very many left-handers -- they have 87 at-bats against southpaws; no other team has fewer than 136 -- but have done poorly (.644 OPS) against those they have faced. Duke's blowups against San Francisco and Milwaukee are defensible -- both those teams hit left-handers hard -- and he has been good otherwise. Therefore, you can talk yourself into starting Duke if you're desperate.

Turner Field (outdoor) 7:05 p.m. ET (clear, with a low of 56 degrees)
Jon Lieber, RHP (1-0) versus Tim Hudson, RHP (3-0)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: The Braves are hitting much too well to consider starting Lieber, even though he has been quite good in his first two starts of the season. Lieber is prone to home runs, though, and Atlanta has hit 12 in its past seven games, tied for the most in the majors. The Phillies have hit 11 in the past week, though, so don't count on Hudson to cruise through another nice start. Hudson did allow 25 home runs last year, including five against the Phillies. Along with Philadelphia's usual bats, Aaron Rowand has been raking and is available in many a fantasy league.

Miller Park (indoor/retractable roof) 7:05 p.m. ET
Braden Looper, RHP (3-1) versus Jeff Suppan, RHP (3-2)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: When a hot pitcher runs into a hot hitting team, who wins? Well, it depends whether that pitcher is legitimately hot or just lucky. Looper has a .221 batting average on balls in play when, right now, the league average in the NL is .298. That is obviously unsustainable, of course, especially when you strike out fewer than five batters per nine innings. Platoon reminder: right-handed pitcher, so Geoff Jenkins is a guy you want in your lineup. On the other side of the mound, Suppan is pitching well and only three offenses have been worse than the Cardinals. Suppan definitely should be owned in more than 7 percent of ESPN leagues.

Shea Stadium (outdoor) 7:10 p.m. ET (clear, with a low of 50 degrees)
Scott Olsen, LHP (2-1) versus TBD

Notable Injuries: Jose Valentin, 2B (knee, day-to-day)

Game Story: Olsen went eight innings and struck out 10 against the Braves in his last start, which looks especially promising considering how well the Braves are hitting, but look closer: All three runs allowed came off homers. That makes five home runs Olsen has allowed in his past three starts, and the Mets can add to that total. Through the first month of the season, the Marlins have the best offense (No. 1 in runs scored, No. 1 in OPS) in baseball. Orlando Hernandez flew back to New York to have his shoulder checked out, so there's a decent chance he misses this start. Even if he pitches, Hernandez has been hit-lucky, with a .218 batting average on balls in play. Play it safe and sit him.

Petco Park (outdoor) 10:05 p.m. ET (cloudy, with a low of 59 degrees)
John Patterson, RHP (0-4) versus Jake Peavy, RHP (3-0)

Notable Injuries: Russell Branyan, 3B (bereavement list, day-to-day)

Game Story: Sometimes a pitcher is just pitching so poorly that you have to declare open season for every batter lucky enough to face him that day. By no metric has Patterson been remotely passable, so even though the Padres are struggling to hit, nothing solves hitting woes like batting practice. Note that Jose Cruz Jr. is the regular left fielder for the Padres nowadays; Terrmel Sledge's slump has cost him his job. Cruz is on fire and freely available, so you might as well ride the hot streak. With Peavy on the mound for the Padres and the game taking place in Petco Park, bench all Nationals.

Dodger Stadium (outdoor) 10:10 p.m. ET (partly cloudy, low of 63 degrees)
Brandon Webb, RHP (1-1) versus Randy Wolf, LHP (3-2)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: The Diamondbacks have a .611 OPS against left-handed pitching, "good" for 28th in the majors. Wolf has been quite good so far, racking up 31 strikeouts to just seven walks, although the five home runs allowed are a bit scary. The Diamondbacks have hit just one home run against lefties, though, and are slugging .313 against them. Available in more than 70 percent of ESPN leagues, Wolf is a must start Monday night.

AT&T Park (outdoor) 10:15 p.m. ET (cloudy, with a low of 51 degrees)
Josh Fogg, RHP (1-1) versus Noah Lowry, LHP (2-2)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: The Giants are 28th in OPS against right-handers and 28th in OPS at home, so by default almost any right-hander facing the Giants in San Francisco makes a good spot start. The only threat to contend with is Barry Bonds, but it is better to face Bonds at home, where park effects are harsh for left-handed bats. Colorado is awful on the road, though, and the game taking place in a pitchers' park only exacerbates that problem. As a result, neither Fogg nor Lowry is an especially exciting pitcher, but the circumstances surrounding the game make both solid spot starts.

Waiver Wire Pickups

Daniel Cabrera, SP, BAL @ Detroit Tigers
Adam Lind, OF, TOR versus Texas Rangers
Ted Lilly, SP, CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aaron Rowand, OF, PHI @ Atlanta Braves
Jeff Suppan, SP, MIL versus St. Louis Cardinals
Jose Cruz Jr., OF, SD versus Washington Nationals
Randy Wolf, SP, LAD versus Arizona Diamondbacks
Josh Fogg, SP, COL @ San Francisco Giants
Noah Lowry, SP, SF versus Colorado Rockies

Please note that the Notable Injuries line is not meant to be a comprehensive report of each team's disabled list. For brevity, we include only day-to-day injuries or new DL additions for players you might otherwise consider using in these games. Long-term DL stints or day-to-day injuries to starting pitchers who were not scheduled to appear are omitted.

Adam Madison is a fantasy baseball analyst for ESPN.com and TalentedMrRoto.com. He can be reached at Adam@TalentedMrRoto.com

ALSO SEE