Daily Notes: Mariners, Indians good starts

Updated: May 6, 2007, 10:47 PM ET
By Adam Madison | Special to ESPN.com

Fantasy Game Notes for Monday: American League

Camden Yards (outdoor) 12:35 p.m. ET (sunny, high of 68 degrees)
Fausto Carmona, RHP (2-1) versus Steve Trachsel, RHP (1-3)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: Carmona has been lucky to get by in his four starts; he has allowed four home runs and has just nine strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings. It is smoke and mirrors, but he's facing the Orioles, a team he just shut down for 8 1/3 innings. Keep in mind his luck is bound to change, but he could easily keep it up against the Orioles. The Indians have the third-best OPS in the majors against right-handers, so play your fringe Indians and bench Trachsel.

Yankee Stadium (outdoor) 7:05 p.m. ET (sunny, high of 66 degrees)
Miguel Batista, RHP (3-2) versus Matt DeSalvo, RHP (0-0)

Notable Injuries: Johnny Damon, OF (leg, day-to-day)

Game Story: DeSalvo has had an undistinguished professional career and is your typical career minor leaguer. Batista has been atrocious and is expected to get lit up by the Yankees. With two poor pitchers, prepare for a high-scoring game. Jose Guillen is owned in less than 1 percent of ESPN leagues but has raised his batting average 58 points in his past seven games.

Fantasy Game Notes for Monday: National League

Dolphin Stadium (outdoor) 7:05 p.m. ET (30 percent chance of rain, high of 80 degrees)
Brad Penny, RHP (3-0) versus Ricky Nolasco, RHP (1-0)

Notable Injuries: Cody Ross, OF (hamstring, DL); Marlon Anderson, 2B (elbow, DL)

Game Story: Now that everyone has added Penny, this start is where his troubles -- 17 walks to 15 strikeouts -- might finally bite him. The Marlins have the best offense in baseball by a fair margin up to this point -- first in slugging, second in runs scored -- and should punish Penny for his mistakes. Nolasco pitched well against the Mets (five innings, one run) in his first start of the year, although the fact that he threw just 76 pitches in it might indicate he needs to build up his stamina. Against the Dodgers, he's not a poor spot start, but don't expect miracles.

Turner Field (outdoor) 7:05 p.m. ET (sunny, high of 72 degrees)
Chris Young, RHP (3-1) versus Chuck James, LHP (3-2)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: James went his first three starts without allowing a home run and enjoyed success. Now, he has allowed five homers in his past three starts and is struggling. The Padres hit left-handers well (.810 OPS, ninth in majors) since their lineup leans heavily to the right; Josh Bard, Mike Cameron, Jose Cruz Jr. and Khalil Greene make especially good starts.

Great American Ball Park (outdoor) 7:10 p.m. ET (sunny, high of 75 degrees)
Roy Oswalt, RHP (4-2) versus Kyle Lohse, RHP (1-2)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: Take out that 12-strikeout game, and Lohse's strikeout rate is only about five per nine innings. Unless you believe Lohse has more double-digit K games in his future, that sounds more like the real Lohse to me, too. Lohse has been successful primarily by keeping his homers down despite remaining hittable. Against the Astros, he should be able to continue having success, although he's a threat to get hit hard in any start.

Miller Park (indoor/retractable roof) 8:05 p.m. ET
Matt Chico, LHP (2-3) versus Chris Capuano, LHP (4-0)

Notable Injuries: none

Game Story: At the time, early in the season, Chico's matchups (Florida, Atlanta) didn't seem that bad. We didn't know the Marlins and Braves would be two of the best offenses in the league so far. In hindsight, Chico has had a pretty tough schedule, although he also has been plenty bad on his own merit. Monday's start is a difficult one; the Brewers are 11th in the majors in OPS versus lefties, but it's still .802, which is pretty high, nonetheless, and more than 50 points higher than the average. Still, Chico isn't as horrible as his season numbers (6.59 ERA, 2.09 WHIP). Start him if you're feeling lucky. Don't go benching any Brewers, though.

Busch Stadium (outdoor) 8:10 p.m. ET (partly cloudy, high of 83 degrees)
Jeff Francis, LHP (1-4) versus Anthony Reyes, RHP (0-5)

Notable Injuries: Preston Wilson, OF (knee, DL)

Game Story: Francis has been getting bombed by pretty much every team he has faced, but it's not as bad as it looks. Atlanta, San Francisco and San Diego are tough offenses for a left-hander. The Cardinals have a .593 OPS against lefties, 29th in the majors. Part of that is almost assuredly a small sample size, but it's still Neifi Perez bad. Francis might not look pretty doing it, but a quality start is well within his reach Monday. Reyes has been mediocre, but hasn't looked bad in facing good offenses in three straight starts (Milwaukee, Chicago twice). He too can notch a quality start against a subpar offense.

Chase Field (indoor/retractable roof) 9:40 p.m. ET
Freddy Garcia, RHP (1-2) versus Doug Davis, LHP (2-3)

Notable Injuries: Chad Tracy, 3B (back, day-to-day)

Game Story: Davis has a 2.25 ERA despite an ugly 1.67 WHIP, but expect the ERA to begin to catch up to the WHIP after Monday's game with the Phillies. Philly has a strong enough offense to make Davis pay, and balls fly out of Chase Field. Garcia is the opposite, a pitcher whose bottom line (6.05 ERA) doesn't match his solid peripherals (19 strikeouts and six walks in 19 1/3 innings).

AT&T Park 10:15 p.m. ET (sunny, high of 72 degrees)
Oliver Perez, LHP (3-2) versus Barry Zito, LHP (2-3)

Notable Injuries: Moises Alou, OF (knee, day-to-day)

Game Story: The Mets have the best OPS in the majors against lefties. It's actually astronomically high -- .913 -- and is impossible to sustain, but it bodes poorly for Zito. Zito can pick up an advantage if Alou is out; Alou is particularly lethal against left-handers. The Giants are solid against lefties, although it might not matter; Perez has been good against tough offenses, and, with a pitchers' park and a good defense behind him, he seems legit.

Waiver Wire Pickups

Trot Nixon, OF, CLE @ Baltimore Orioles
Jose Guillen, OF, SEA @ New York Yankees
Ricky Nolasco, SP, FLA vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Khalil Greene, SS, SD @ Atlanta Braves
Jeff Francis, SP, COL @ St. Louis Cardinals
Anthony Reyes, SP, STL vs. Colorado Rockies

Please Note that the notable injuries are not meant to be a comprehensive report of each team's disabled list. For brevity, we include only day-to-day injuries or new DL additions for players you might otherwise consider using in these games. Long-term DL stints or day-to-day injuries to starting pitchers who were not scheduled to appear are omitted.

Adam Madison is a fantasy baseball analyst for ESPN.com and TalentedMrRoto.com. He can be reached at Adam@TalentedMrRoto.com