Winners, losers from latest trades
Here is a breakdown of the pre-draft and draft-day trades and the impact they will have from a fantasy perspective for the 2010-11 season. Keep in mind, only trades which are considered fantasy-relevant are listed below.
Kings acquire Dalembert from 76ers for Hawes and Nocioni
The Kings finally got their (long-rumored) wish and landed the perpetually disgruntled Samuel Dalembert, who should step in immediately and provide Paul Westphal with a needed infusion of shot-blocking and rebounding. Of course, Dalembert also wants an opportunity to showcase his arsenal of low-post offensive moves, which may prove difficult, as he has no arsenal of low-post offensive moves. But the Kings' up-tempo attack should provide Dalembert with ample bunny opportunities, especially when he's on the court with Tyreke Evans.
What might get lost in the shuffle is that the Kings' higher-paced game (seventh in the NBA versus 23rd for the 76ers) should also lead to a spike in Dalembert's already ample production in blocks and boards. The key behind a Dalembert revival will lie in his minutes per game. During his peak seasons (2006-07, 2007-08), Dalembert averaged more than 30 minutes per game (mpg). His decline the past two seasons was directly linked to his minutes falling off a cliff (24.8 and 25.9 mpg, respectively).
Even with DeMarcus Cousins and Jason Thompson pushing him for minutes at the 5, I'm anticipating a minor bounce-back recalling the Dalembert of 2007; something around 10 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks a night, which means he will make for a fine No. 2 center in most leagues.
As for Spencer Hawes, he gets a fresh start under a new regime in Philadelphia. But from a fantasy perspective, he's at square one in a rebuilding process. He's coming off a knee injury (though he thankfully avoided the knife), is on a less-friendly club offensively, and has Elton Brand, Marreese Speights and Thaddeus Young ahead of him in Philly's frontcourt rotation. Hawes still retains some potential, but it's going to take an injury and/or trade to bump his minutes into the 28-30 per-game range.
Andres Nocioni is a player whose worth isn't measured in stats, which means he's not really worth discussing in this forum, unless your league's scoring system counts "once-rumored defensive ferocity."
Bucks acquire Maggette from Warriors for Bell and Gadzuric
Corey Maggette was one of the great waiver-wire adds of last season. Temporarily healthy, Maggette cut back on the 3-pointers, raised his field goal percentage, and averaged nearly 20 points per game. The problem, as always, for Maggette is that the operative word is "temporarily." "Temporarily," as in the following -- 70, 51, 70. Those are his games played totals for the past three seasons. But Maggette still played well (and often) enough for the Bucks to covet him as John Salmons insurance, should he leave via free agency.
Seeing as the Bucks essentially snared Maggette for cap space, it's hard to question the move. And while it makes eminent sense in basketball terms, the move to Milwaukee is going to significantly downgrade Maggette's fantasy value, probably from the late sixth round to the 10th.
Maggette takes the hit for two reasons. First, he's leaving the Golden State Warriors, which tends to have a depressive effect on a player's offensive statistics. Unless you're moving to the New York Knicks or the Phoenix Suns, a trade out of Golden State means your best offensive days are behind you. Second, he's coming to a deeper Bucks team that already features one of my favorite fantasy swingmen, Carlos Delfino. And at this point, Delfino actually sports a more diverse fantasy portfolio (3s, steals, boards) than Maggette.
Now that Maggette has stopped shooting 3s (not a bad idea, due to his .260 percentage in '09-10), his value migrates toward the percentage categories (.516 from the field, .835 from the line). Maggette's ability to get to the line and convert is his most underrated fantasy asset.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors clear cap space as they rebuild around Stephen Curry and Ekpe Udoh. Moving on
Bucks acquire Douglas-Roberts from Nets for future pick
Now here's a move I really like. If Michael Redd is (as assumed) not long for the Bucks, there will be tons of minutes to be had at shooting guard. Chris Douglas-Roberts' season-long stats aren't mind-blowing (9.8 ppg), but he displayed gobs of potential during a torrid four-week stretch last November and December. During that stretch, he cracked 20 points seven times and posted two double-doubles. He's not a great shooter, but he can score, get to the line (.847 free throw percentage) and pick up steals. If he can crack 25 minutes a night, he could make for a nice early-season waiver-wire grab.
Proposed: Wizards acquire Hinrich and rights to Seraphin from Bulls
Assuming this deal goes through on July 8, Ernie Grunfeld finally gets his man. The Washington Wizards' general manager has coveted the combo guard since Kirk Hinrich came into the league, and gets him for cap space (which is expendable since no marquee free agents are coming to D.C. anytime soon. Hinrich has already proved he can coexist with a No. 1 overall point guard, but can he coexist with John Wall and Gilbert Arenas? It probably means Arenas or Hinrich will be moved at some point, but in the short term it guarantees Hinrich will be a sixth man, which means something around 10 points, five assists, a steal and a 3-pointer a night. A speculative end-game pick in deeper leagues.
Wolves acquire Webster from Trail Blazers for rights to Babbitt and Gomes
This is an under-the-radar move with some medium-sized fantasy implications. Martell Webster may be getting banished to Kahnland, but he's got little to no competition at small forward and could be in line for 30 minutes a night. Still only 23, Webster has shown that he can produce given the opportunity and should be an underrated source of 3s in deeper leagues.
Portland Trail Blazers
Ryan Gomes and Luke Babbitt will both come off the bench in Portland, and both could pick up the minutes just created by Webster's departure. More importantly, the move solidifies Nicolas Batum's standing as the opening-night starter. The multifaceted Batum is a little-mentioned sleeper, but I guarantee you that he won't be by the time ESPN finishes its Fantasy Draft Kit.
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