Daily Notes for Saturday: Nocioni seizing opportunity
|Time||Visitors||Opp. PPG||Opp. FGP||RPG Diff.||Home||Opp. PPG||Opp. FGP||RPG Diff.|
|7:00 p.m.||Chicago Bulls||102.6||.454||-1.1|| |
|7:00 p.m.||New Jersey Nets||103.4||.462||+0.9|| |
|7:00 p.m.||Oklahoma City Thunder||102.4||.476||-0.7|| |
|8:00 p.m.||Orlando Magic||93.7||.425||-1.9|| |
|8:30 p.m.||Utah Jazz||96.9||.451||+2.1|| |
|8:30 p.m.||Detroit Pistons||96.2||.456||-2.4|| |
|8:30 p.m.||Memphis Grizzlies||99.5||.473||-2.3|| |
|San Antonio Spurs||93.3||.452||+0.6|
|10:00 p.m.||Toronto Raptors||99.4||.453||-5.5|| |
|Portland Trail Blazers||95.5||.461||+4.6|
All times are ET.
Key: Opp. PPG = Points per game allowed to opponents. Opp. FGP = Field goal percentage allowed to opponents. RPG Diff. = The difference between team's rebounds per game and its opponents' rebounds per game.
Malik Allen, PF, Bucks (rib)
Nick Collison, PF/C, Thunder (thumb)
Allen Iverson, PG/SG, Pistons (groin)
Mike Miller, SG/SF, Timberwolves (ankle)
Paul Millsap, PF, Jazz (knee)
Mehmet Okur, C, Jazz (back)
Bobby Simmons, SF, Nets (personal/shoulder)
With Drew Gooden confirmed out until at least Dec. 31, Andres Nocioni is a must-start. He's averaging 17.7 points and 2.5 3-pointers in his past four games, and should be guaranteed minutes in the mid-30s as long as he can avoid foul trouble. Randy Foye has scored 24 and 26 points in his past two games, but combined for 21 points total in his preceding three games, so it's tough to know what to expect. He faces the stingy Magic defense, though, one top-3 in both opponent field goal and 3-point percentage, so you may want to play it safe and reserve him. Only the Lakers allow more 3-point attempts than the Raptors (21.0 per game), and they don't defend it particularly well, either (37 percent). That should mean oodles of treys for Steve Blake and Rudy Fernandez, who both shoot better than 40 percent from beyond the arc.
Chris Wilcox went for 19 points and 12 boards in 24 minutes in his most recent game, and if Nick Collison (thumb) is unable to suit up again, Wilcox should be in line for another productive game against the Wizards. Only the Knicks allow a higher opponent's field goal percentage than the Wizards' 47.7 percent, and they have one of the league's worst rebound rates, too. Averaging 36.1 minutes, 16.8 points, 2.6 3-pointers and 1.6 steals in his past five games -- all starts -- for the Wizards, Mike James is a suddenly reliable option at the point and is a good bet to keep it up against the porous Thunder defense. Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is quietly logging 33 minutes in his past four games, averaging a respectable 12.7 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 0.7 blocks, and makes a decent utility option as long as Charlie Villanueva is buried in Scott Skiles' doghouse.
Adam Madison is a fantasy basketball analyst for ESPN.com.
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