Commentary

DeAndre Jordan risky, but could offer huge rewards

Updated: April 10, 2009, 1:33 PM ET
By Adam Madison | Special to ESPN.com

Matchups for Saturday, April 11 and Sunday, April 12

Saturday Matchups
TimeVisitorsOpp. PPGOpp. FGPRPG Diff.HomeOpp. PPGOpp. FGPRPG Diff.
1:00 p.m.Dallas Mavericks100.1.454+1.1
@
New Orleans Hornets94.2.450+0.2
3:30 p.m.Boston Celtics92.9.427+4.8
@
Cleveland Cavaliers91.1.423+3.1
6:00 p.m.New York Knicks108.2.481-4.0
@
Miami Heat98.1.456-2.7
6:00 p.m.Philadelphia 76ers96.9.458+1.9
@
Toronto Raptors102.0.465-1.6
9:00 p.m.San Antonio Spurs93.4.454+0.3
@
Sacramento Kings109.7.483-5.1
9:30 p.m.Memphis Grizzlies99.4.473-1.2
@
Los Angeles Lakers99.3.447+2.6
Sunday Matchups
TimeVisitorsOpp. PPGOpp. FGPRPG Diff.HomeOpp. PPGOpp. FGPRPG Diff.
7:00 p.m.Detroit Pistons94.6.450+1.0
@
Indiana Pacers105.9.456-0.5
7:30 p.m.Orlando Magic94.3.432+1.2
@
New Jersey Nets100.8.462-1.6
8:00 p.m.Phoenix Suns107.6.466+1.0
@
Minnesota Timberwolves102.8.474+0.9
8:30 p.m.Charlotte Bobcats94.8.454+1.1
@
Chicago Bulls102.5.457-0.4
8:30 p.m.Oklahoma City Thunder103.3.476+1.3
@
Milwaukee Bucks100.5.460-0.1
9:00 p.m.Golden State Warriors112.5.469-4.9
@
Utah Jazz100.5.461+0.5
10:30 p.m.Portland Trail Blazers94.7.463+5.3
@
Los Angeles Clippers104.1.474-4.0
All times are ET.
Key: Opp. PPG = Points per game allowed to opponents. Opp. FGP = Field goal percentage allowed to opponents. RPG Diff. = The difference between team's rebounds per game and its opponents' rebounds per game.

Injury report

Out
Tyson Chandler, C, Hornets (ankle)
Kevin Garnett, PF, Celtics (knee)
Manu Ginobili, SG, Spurs (ankle)
Leon Powe, PF, Celtics (knee)

Day-to-day
Andrea Bargnani, SF/PF/C, Raptors (heel)
Raja Bell, SG, Bobcats (calf)
Marcus Camby, PF/C, Clippers (ankle)
Rodney Carney, SF, Timberwolves (hip)
Daequan Cook, SG, Heat (shoulder)
Marquis Daniels, SG/SF, Pacers (wrist)
Monta Ellis, SG, Warriors (ankle)
Francisco Elson, C, Bucks (hip)
Randy Foye, PG/SG, Timberwolves (hip)
Chris Kaman, C, Clippers (flu)
Corey Maggette, SG/SF, Warriors (concussion)
Kevin Martin, SG, Kings (ankle)
C.J. Miles, SG/SF, Jazz (finger)
Darko Milicic, PF/C, Grizzlies (hamstring)
James Posey, SG/SF, Hornets (elbow)
Tim Thomas, SF/PF, Bulls (personal)
Al Thornton, PF, Clippers (shoulder)
Brandan Wright, PF, Warriors (shoulder)

Saturday's Start 'em, sit 'em

Keyon Dooling seems entrenched as a starter for the Nets, averaging 37 minutes per game in April so far, but he has struggled in each of his past two games against above-average defenses in the 76ers and Celtics. The Magic are currently beating out the Celtics by a tenth of a point for best defensive efficiency in the NBA, so it gets worse before it gets better, and when Dooling doesn't shoot well from the field, he's not versatile enough to salvage a bad day. … As expected, Matt Barnes' playing time has been cut upon the return of Leandro Barbosa. Barnes has seen 28, 20 and 21 minutes in the three games since Barbosa returned, and you can drop Barnes for something better at this point. Grant Hill has also seen his minutes decline a bit to the low 30s, and with the Suns knocked out of the playoffs there will be no reason to push the 37-year-old. Still, Hill has played well enough to preserve most of his value, and a matchup against the Timberwolves on Saturday is about as favorable as it gets. … Craig Smith has returned from a calf injury to score 16 and 14 points off the bench his past two games. If Rodney Carney's hip keeps him out another game, Smith isn't a bad sleeper. … Anthony Randolph has grabbed double-digit rebounds in six consecutive games, with multiple blocks in four of those games. The return of Andris Biedrins may put a dent in some of those gaudy rebound totals, but as long as Brendan Wright is out, Randolph is here to stay. Anthony Morrow is another Warrior benefitting from another's injury, starting the past three games in place of Monta Ellis, whose ankle could keep him out for the rest of the season. Morrow is averaging better than seven 3-point attempts per game, making nine 3-pointers total in those three games. … Keep a close eye on the lineups and injury updates before the game, but with Al Thornton doubtful, Marcus Camby a game-time decision and Chris Kaman questionable with the flu, DeAndre Jordan is a high-risk, high-upside gamble if he gets the start against the hapless Kings. Twenty-one points, eight rebounds and two blocks Saturday against the Nuggets represents his upside, but Jordan is usually good for a high amount of rebounds and blocks if pressed into extended minutes.

Sunday's Start 'em, sit 'em

Jared Jeffries required six stitches on the side of his head Tuesday after getting injured in the third quarter against the Bulls, and while he returned later in the game, he picked up a DNP for a lacerated left eyelid versus the Pistons. He's not on the injury report, however, so he seems likely to play against the Heat. He was averaging better than 37 minutes his previous four games before the injury, with contributions in assists, steals and blocks, and is available in 97 percent of leagues. … Despite a finger injury to Udonis Haslem, Michael Beasley came off the bench Tuesday, but that didn't stop him from scoring 25 points in 47 minutes; starter Yakhouba Diawara logged just nine minutes. You would think without Haslem around, Beasley would have free rein, and you can't ask for a much better matchup than facing the up-tempo Knicks. … Roger Mason has failed to replicate his early-season value even while Manu Ginobili is piling up missed games, but against the Kings of all teams -- allowing an NBA-high 3-point conversion rate of 41 percent -- Mason should have the green light for mid-teen points and multiple 3-pointers.

Adam Madison is a fantasy basketball analyst for ESPN.com.

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