December 15, 2008, 2:34 PM

Player Rater: Will the real Al Harrington please stand up?

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Landman By Seth Landman
Special to ESPN.com
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Anyone with eyes and an Internet connection could tell you that Al Harrington has been playing out of his mind lately for the Knicks, at least on the offensive end. His Player Rater ranking for the season (102nd overall) is actually a decent reflection of the sort of player most of us thought Harrington was coming into the season, as his average draft position was 99, but the reality is he has been much better than that.

His averages for the season, in 15 games played overall, are 21.1 points, 7.1 rebounds, 2.6 3-pointers and 1.0 steals per game, and he's shooting a career-best 81.5 percent from the free throw line. To put that into context, here are his numbers in 10 games with the Knicks: 25.5 points, 7.8 rebounds, 2.8 3-pointers and 0.9 steals per game, and 47 percent shooting from the floor (which would be his best shooting season since 2001-02).

So, is Harrington the player who is ranked 102nd for the season, the one who is 52nd over the past 30 days, the one who is 10th over the past 15 days, or the one who is fourth over the past seven days? This is a guy who opened last season with a seven-game stretch in which he averaged 21 points and then scored only 20 points in a game once over the next month. Still, this is also the first time in his entire career he has had back-to-back 30-point games. The Knicks are only 4-6 in their past 10 games, but they have played a very tough schedule, including losses to Cleveland (twice), at Atlanta, at Detroit and at home against Portland, and they weren't expected to be very good anyway. Harrington seems to have found a perfect offense to suit his talents on a team that's willing to play him 38 minutes per game and let him jack up seven 3s per game.

So, again, there are major pros and cons to Harrington right now, and I'll use this chance to mention that the most similar at-age player on his Hollinger stats page right now is Tim Thomas, which is never a good sign. But one thing is definitely true: His value will never be higher. He's coming off the hottest streak of his career, he's killing it from the 3-point line, and he's making his free throws for the first time. He's likely going to do two things extremely well the rest of the season in New York: hit 3s and score points. If you have some breathing room in those categories, Harrington might be able to net you someone less streaky who helps you more across the board. Trading him might be a good idea; as hot as he is right now, the one thing I learned in going back through his game logs for every season of his career is there is a cold spell coming. It is inevitable.

Going up

Chris Paul
Ron Turenne/NBAE/Getty ImagesHas Chris Paul really been as productive as the great LeBron?
Chris Paul, PG, Hornets (Player Rater rank: 2): I know, he's at No. 2 already, and the guy ahead of him is LeBron (the consensus best player in the world) James. But Paul's Hornets have played just 20 games, fewest in the Association. Paul is better this year across the board; he has increased his rebound rate and his assist rate, and he's shooting out of his mind from the floor (52 percent) and the line (89 percent). Having played fewer games than almost all the other top players, Paul is fourth most valuable in free throw shooting, second most valuable in steals and the most valuable player in the league in assists. Even having played fewer games, if Paul was making just the 1.1 3-pointers per game he made last season, he would be pretty much neck-and-neck with LeBron for first overall. I think Paul will regain his shooting touch from long range, mostly because he's having the best overall shooting performance of his career already this year. Plus, I think he'll pass LeBron when the Hornets catch up in games played.

Hedo Turkoglu, SG/SF, Magic (51): The rebounds and assists (5.0 and 4.2 respectively) are still pretty good, and Turkoglu has increased his steals from 0.9 last year to 1.3 this year. His major problem right now is he can't hit his shots. His true shooting percentage has fallen from better than 57 percent in each of the past three seasons to 50 percent this year; as such, he is shooting worse from all over the court, except the free throw line. I am taking it on faith he is going to start hitting shots the way he has his entire career. Even Paul Pierce, who is shooting a terrible 40.5 percent from the floor, is a full point better than Turkoglu in that category on the Player Rater. An extra point would move Turkoglu up more than 10 spots on the overall rankings. If you can trade somebody like Jamal Crawford or John Salmons for him, it should work out for you.

Jameer Nelson, PG, Magic (58): Since missing five full games due to injury, Nelson is averaging 16.8 points, 6.0 assists, 2.8 rebounds, 2.4 3s and 2.4 steals per game, and is shooting 53 percent from the floor. He's not as good as those numbers suggest, but he's an amazingly efficient point guard at this point, and he's playing on a team with a lot of firepower. I think he'll definitely make his way into the top 50 and perhaps the top 40 in the coming weeks.

Going down

Nene
Rocky Widner/NBAE/Getty ImagesNene has been great, but what goes up must come down.
Nene, PF/C, Nuggets (23): Nene has been great this season and, 23 games in, if I owned him, I'd be ready to cash in my chips and move on. He has done enough in the early part of the season that owners who are desperate for some help in field goal percentage, blocks and steals might be willing to give up something of major value to acquire him. Personally, I think there are some red flags. He is making shots at a ridiculous rate right now -- according to 82games.com, Nene is making 48 percent of his two-point jump shots. While it's possible he could sustain that number, the fact he might be getting a bit lucky in the first third of the season coupled with his complete and total health so far is enough to make me want to sell high. What's more, his past two games include a 39-minute effort against Minnesota in which he scored only five points, and a 20 minute game against the Warriors in which he played well but picked up four fouls. I think he could be headed for a downturn.

Baron Davis, PG, Clippers (41): Aside from the fact he is absolutely killing your team's field goal percentage (ranked fifth worst in the league right now), you have to wonder how long Baron is going to keep busting his hump for the putrid Clippers. Remarkably, even though he is playing in front of a legitimate shot-blocker in Marcus Camby (and another one when Chris Kaman is healthy), Baron is averaging fewer steals this year, and so his value is tied into him making 3s and getting assists. He should continue doing those things, but if you can get someone in return -- say, Mo Williams -- who won't hurt you anywhere, you might be better off.

Andrei Kirilenko, SF/PF, Jazz (42): Similarly to Nene, Kirilenko remains helpful in blocks and steals, but I'm concerned about Kirilenko's situation on the Jazz. Over his past five games, his numbers are all slightly down. Most concerning is this seems to be a result of his minutes being down a bit, too. Those of us who own him are likely pretty attached because we are probably relying on him to keep us afloat in the defensive categories, but it still is a concern he has scored in double figures in only two of his past five games. Because Paul Millsap is playing so well, Kirilenko might see his minutes get cut even more when Carlos Boozer returns from injury, so this might be the last sell-high chance you get with AK-47.

Seth Landman is a fantasy basketball analyst for ESPN.com.