Fantasy Trade Spin: Chambers to San Diego
Not that the Miami Dolphins were going to be in the playoff hunt this season anyways, but they officially threw in the towel Tuesday when they sent Chris Chambers to the San Diego Chargers for a second-round pick in the 2008 draft.
There's not a ton of fantasy impact here, but there is some. Let's start with Chambers, who gets an uptick in value.
He's playing with a much better quarterback now and can help provide a deep threat for Philip Rivers while Antonio Gates works the middle. Having played under Cam Cameron's offense this year, it should not be a hard adjustment for Chambers to move to Norv Turner's playbook (they are very similar). The fact that San Diego is on a bye this week helps even more.
Even though he's been terrible recently, Chambers was actually very productive at the start of the year, with 21 receptions for 302 yards in his first three games.
Problems at quarterback, and with the team in general, caused Chambers to struggle after that productive start, but expect him to finish the year at about 1,000 total yards and six touchdowns. The upgrade at quarterback helps, but the Chargers have a tough schedule upcoming in terms of pass defenses. Two nice matchups (Texans and Vikings) come right after San Diego's Week 7 bye, and then the Chargers face a brutal stretch with the Colts, Jaguars, Ravens, Chiefs and Titans. Only the Jaguars of that group are outside the top 10 (they're 12th). Once you get past that stretch, however, the fantasy playoffs look favorable, with Detroit in Week 15 and Oakland in Week 17 sandwiching a tough Denver matchup in Week 16.
This basically kills Vincent Jackson's fantasy value -- if it wasn't dead already; he has been a fantasy disappointment and now becomes the fourth pass option (after Tomlinson, Gates and now Chambers) on a run-first team. Unless you play in a deeper league, you can feel free to drop Jackson now. As for Philip Rivers, his value stays the same; Chambers is a bit of an upgrade from Jackson but not enough of one to significantly change his value, especially with the Chargers upcoming schedule.
Neither guy has done much this year. Hagan has more receptions (6 receptions for 72 yards), Ginn has more yards (3 for 83), but Ginn should get the longer look. Definitely worth adding in keeper leagues or 12-team or deeper leagues in which owners play three wideouts. The upcoming schedule is not great for Miami either (Patriots, Giants, BYE, Bills, Eagles, Steelers), but things gets much easier in Week 13 when they play the Jets. They then face the Bills in Week 14, Ravens in Week 15, Patriots -- who could be resting their starters-- again in Week 16 and Bengals in Week 17; all of those matchups could be nice.
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