Grand Theft Roto: Draft to trade
You don't have to trade to be successful in fantasy football.
It's an ugly truth, but it's a truth nonetheless. In most leagues, especially the public ones on a certain Web site that begins with "E" and ends in "SPN.com," a savvy owner who tracks trends, keeps up with injury news and studies schedules can navigate an entire season and win without dealing.
But who wants to do that?
Seriously. Do you really want to be your league's bubble boy, enjoying your hermetically sealed roster, quarantined from the delightfully dirty world of haggling, counteroffering and legal larceny? Of course not, and that's why you're here, reading Grand Theft Roto, ESPN's only fantasy football column entirely dedicated to helping you deal and steal your way to a league title.
I've been writing these columns for baseball and football for several years, welcoming swapsters of all ages to the Grand Theft Roto Family. It's not a full-blown crime syndicate, but it's also not quite a "legitimate business" either. However, if you're new to GTR, here are the CliffsNotes:
In leagues in which you're playing against close friends, family or Disney characters who are too cute to dupe, I believe in the utopian ideal of the "fair deal" that helps both sides. "A trade is a wish your heart makes " Sing with me.
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Every Wednesday through ESPN.com's trade deadline, which is Nov. 19 (Week 12), this column will consist of three major sections. The first is "Casing the Joint," where I lay out a little strategy for targeting players and making offers. The second is "Three I'm Stealing" and "Three I'm Dealing," where I'll call out players I covet and others whose trade value has peaked. Finally, I'll get to "Pulling the Job," where I'll document any "Grand Theft Rotos" I've consummated during the week.
But before you can make your first offer, you need a team, and that means drafting. Now if you want to be that bubble boy I mentioned in the third paragraph, you can just draft your team without ever thinking about how your choices will play out on the fantasy trade market. But if you're a budding member of the GTR Fan Club, then the draft isn't the only way you build your team. It's the primordial soup that eventually is going to evolve into living, breathing trades.
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However, assuming you aren't in either of those situations, I believe there are some overriding principles you can and should employ to make sure you're ready to deal right away, and I'm giving each one a song from the '80s to help you remember them.
"Simply the Best" (by Tina Turner) -- Even Tina knows that for the first 80 picks in your draft, you take "simply the best" player on the board, regardless of position. (At least I think she does.) Look, I don't know you personally, and I don't know which cheat sheet you're using. You could be using one found on this site, or maybe you've made one of your own using Excel, a logarithm your cousin wrote and a Ouija board. Regardless, you should have at least a top 100 combining all positions; that way, when it's your turn to pick, you know who the highest-ranked player still available is. Admittedly, there are some commonsense limits that come to mind. For instance, you don't want to take your third quarterback before everyone else has their first, and I wouldn't keep passing on running backs and then end up with Ahmad Bradshaw starting for you in Week 1. But short of that, the trade-inclined owner should be amassing value early in the draft, and that means taking the best player, not necessarily the best fit for your roster. Having excess will make it easier to trade right away.
"Missing You" (by John Waite) -- The by-product of grabbing value while the rest of the owners are making sure they have all their positions covered is that you will appear to be "missing" quality at certain positions going into the season. The holes shouldn't be gaping -- you've taken the best-player-available strategy too far if Brodie Croyle is your Week 1 starter -- but still, other owners likely will notice you lack depth in a few places. That's good because you're upping the chances that someone else will notice your thin spots and begin a trade dialogue with you. That's half the battle. Maybe you're not at all worried about having Kevin Boss as your only tight end and don't care that the other guy has Dallas Clark and Jason Witten. That's fine. The point is you now have him on speed dial, so you can determine whom he likes and who he thinks is good for your team. Next thing you know, you can propose a deal with that information.

Follow these three song-inspired strategies, throw in a little cuff-blocking (selecting your opponents' "handcuffs" at reasonable slots) and you have yourself a team that is built for swapping. Are you a burgeoning fantasy felon, or a bubble boy in training?
That's what I thought. Don't just win your league this year. Steal it, starting on draft day.
Shawn Peters is a fantasy baseball, football and golf analyst for ESPN.com. You can e-mail him your own grand theft rotos by clicking here.


