Up, down and everything in between
Phil Rogers takes a glance at what lies ahead for all 30 teams heading into the second half of the season.
In the immortal words of Buddy Bell, "Don't ever say it can't get worse.''
That was among the pearls of wisdom tossed around in dugouts in the first half of a 2006 season that was full of highs and lows. Other memorable lines included the classic, "Can anyone make a play out there?'' uttered by Minnesota's Kyle Lohse shortly before he was shipped to Triple-A, and Michael Barrett's confession, "I do feel sorry for the kids that were watching.''
In fairness, Barrett was referring to the right jab he landed on A.J. Pierzynski's chin on May 20, but it works well as a blanket description for the Cubs' overall play.
Here's hoping fans in places like Kansas City, Pittsburgh and on the north side of Chicago will enjoy the second half of '06 better than the first. You know it's going to be a blast for fans in places like Boston, New York, Detroit and -- now we're grasping at straws -- San Diego?
Your 30-team glance ahead to the second half:
| SECOND-HALF FORECAST |
| RECORD: 53-36 | NL RUNS SCORED: 1st | NL ERA: 2nd | REMAINING SKED |
On pace to win the division by 21 games with 96 wins, the Mets are the one New York team that can cruise. But look for GM Omar Minaya to make at least one or two deals as he tries to improve his pitching staff. Livan Hernandez is a possibility to join his half brother, Orlando, in a rotation that has seen constant change behind Tom Glavine, Pedro Martinez and Steve Trachsel.FORECAST:
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| RECORD: 40-47 | NL RUNS SCORED: 7th | NL ERA: 12th | REMAINING SKED |
GM Pat Gillick insists that he's not about to pull the plug on Charlie Manuel, but the manager's status figures to be an ongoing story line. The Phillies must resolve the ugly Brett Myers situation and could finally trade Bobby Abreu or Pat Burrell as they start their 2007 planning.FORECAST:
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| RECORD: 40-49 | NL RUNS SCORED: t-4th | NL ERA: 9th | REMAINING SKED |
While the Braves know the odds are stacked against continuing their run of 14 consecutive division titles, they point out they're only 6½ out in the wild-card standings. If manager Bobby Cox gets his team off to a good start after the break, GM John Schuerholz might add -- not subtract -- parts at the trade deadline. Either way, John Smoltz isn't going anywhere and Schuerholz would have to be blown away with an offer to deal Andruw Jones.FORECAST:
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| RECORD: 38-48 | NL RUNS SCORED: 12th | NL ERA: 6th | REMAINING SKED |
Manager Joe Girardi and his coaches continue to conduct daily classes of Big League 101 for a team devoid of veterans. With Yusmeiro Petit replacing Brian Moehler in the rotation, Florida's starting pitchers have an average age of 22.4. They'll continue auditioning impressive arms as circumstances allow, with Renyel Pinto next in line.FORECAST:
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| RECORD: 38-52 | NL RUNS SCORED: 14th | NL ERA: 14th | REMAINING SKED |
GM Jim Bowden has the cell phone every contending GM needs on his speed dial. Frank Robinson's team is predictably going nowhere and has some intriguing veterans available for trades, including Alfonso Soriano -- now a consideration as an outfielder and a second baseman -- Livan Hernandez and Jose Guillen. Bullpen arms Mike Stanton, Gary Majewski and Jon Rauch could also create interest.FORECAST:
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Phil Rogers is the national baseball writer for the Chicago Tribune, which has a Web site at www.chicagosports.com. His book, "Say It's So," a story about the 2005 White Sox, is available at bookstores, through amazon.com or direct order from Triumph Publishing (800-222-4657).
On pace to win the division by 21 games with 96 wins, the Mets are the one New York team that can cruise. But look for GM Omar Minaya to make at least one or two deals as he tries to improve his pitching staff.
GM Pat Gillick insists that he's not about to pull the plug on Charlie Manuel, but the manager's status figures to be an ongoing story line. The Phillies must resolve the ugly
While the Braves know the odds are stacked against continuing their run of 14 consecutive division titles, they point out they're only 6½ out in the wild-card standings. If manager Bobby Cox gets his team off to a good start after the break, GM John Schuerholz might add -- not subtract -- parts at the trade deadline. Either way,
Manager
GM Jim Bowden has the cell phone every contending GM needs on his speed dial. Frank Robinson's team is predictably going nowhere and has some intriguing veterans available for trades, including
So much for coasting through the regular season. A 6-13 stretch to finish the first half exposed the need for GM Walt Jocketty to improve -- if not overhaul -- the starting rotation, as
The break arrived at the right time for Jerry Narron's team, which slid four games behind St. Louis because of an overmatched bullpen. First-year GM Wayne Krivsky has ownership's backing to add parts, and relief pitching is a huge need.
Like Cincinnati, Milwaukee finds itself unexpectedly in the mix of National League contenders. The Brewers hope to get a lift by the return of
These guys hope history can repeat itself, as they salvaged wild-card spots with a 48-26 second half in 2004 and 45-30 second half in '05. It's not going to happen unless they can figure out why
A managerial change appears inevitable, but GM Jim Hendry didn't have a successor in place so Dusty Baker has had to keep showing up. An overhaul of the coaching staff, or an outright revolt, could follow Baker's dismissal, complicating the situation for Hendry. Once the manager's situation has been addressed -- Lou Piniella is the automatic rumor -- Hendry can get on to moving veterans like Greg Maddux,
The one sure thing is a 14th consecutive losing season, only two shy of the all-time mark set by the
A 5-1 trip to Philadelphia and Washington lifted spirits and created a two-game cushion at the break, but hatches are battened for the second half. The best sign of all is that they took the division lead with
For all the talk about
Like the Brewers and Reds, they offer a nice story line. A serious playoff run isn't out of the question given how they're finally winning on the road and pitching better at home. Don't expect major help, as GM Dan O'Dowd isn't going to give up top prospects, but he'd like to find another bargain or two like
A 3-20 stretch set Arizona back, but hasn't wiped the Diamondbacks out of contention in the balanced West. Management is posturing about being buyers at the deadline, but it seems more likely they'll try to make some deals -- maybe even move
After winning five of six against the White Sox and Mets the last two weeks, the Red Sox are looking like the best team in the majors.
No team is more under the gun than the Yankees, as this appears to be the first year since 2002 that the East won't get two teams in the playoffs. Will GM Brian Cashman be willing to trade right-handed pitching prospect Philip Hughes and other top prospects to give Joe Torre a better roster as he tries to reel in the Red Sox?
This is a solid team in a great position. There's no heat on anyone in Toronto, but the Jays have the talent to turn the East into a three-team race. They've gone 9-6 against the Red Sox and Yankees thus far. They look forward to getting outfielder
There are executives with other clubs who believe there's going to be a
First-year GM Andrew Friedman is looking to make his own
On pace to win 109 games, anything less than a playoff appearance will be a huge disappointment for a team that had averaged 100 losses over the last five seasons. Owner Mike Ilitch has promised to underwrite key additions, with a left-handed hitter about the only need currently on GM Dave Dombrowski's list.
Chicago fans aren't going to be satisfied with a wild-card spot, so the remaining 13 games against Detroit are a priority. General manager Ken Williams loves the big trade, so don't rule out anything (including
With the M&M boys,
Arguably no team in the majors has been more disappointing than the Indians. At some point they're likely to phase out
Believe it or not, Buddy Bell has got the Royals on the right track. They've gone 15-9 since June 14, winning series against Houston, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee, St. Louis and Minnesota. Outside of petitioning for a transfer to the National League, their best move will come when they figure out how to fit talented third baseman Alex Gordon into a lineup seemingly set with
With the A's and Rangers tied for first place, you can forget that
First-year GM Jon Daniels has done a terrific job to help get Texas into contention, stealing contributors like
This Angels team didn't look like a Mike Scioscia club for much of the first half, but a 7-1 finish to the break has given it new life.
They are close enough to be one of the biggest surprises in baseball, but it's hard to see them contending. If 