Originally Published: September 26, 2007
From spoiler to wild-card hopeful
We're all about accuracy here at Pennant Pulse. So it's time for a little correction.
It was just two days ago, right here in the Pulse-hood, that we found ourselves getting all pumped up about the National League's "three-team wild-card race." Oops. Forgot somebody. It's time to welcome those Atlanta Braves back into the grand Pennant Pulse ballroom. As recently as Saturday afternoon, that seemed like a ridiculous idea, since the Braves had fallen to 5½ games out in the wild-card standings with eight to play. So obviously, they hadn't just slipped off our Pennant Pulse radar screens. They'd practically slipped off their own.| TEAM | RECORD | GB |
| San Diego | 87-71 | -- |
| Philadelphia | 86-72 | 1.0 |
| Colorado | 86-72 | 1.0 |
| Atlanta | 83-75 | 4.0 |
| TEAM | RECORD | GB |
| New York | 87-71 | -- |
| Philadelphia | 86-72 | 1.0 |
| TEAM | RECORD | GB |
| Chicago | 83-75 | -- |
| Milwaukee | 81-77 | 2.0 |
| TEAM | RECORD | GB |
| Arizona | 89-70 | -- |
| San Diego | 87-71 | 1.5 |
| Colorado | 86-72 | 2.5 |
| For more on the races, see Hunt for October. | ||
| • Arizona 8, Pittsburgh 0 • Chicago at Florida, 4:05 ET • Atlanta at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET • St. Louis at New York, 7:10 ET • San Diego at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET • Colorado at Los Angeles, 10:10 ET |
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| For more on today's big games, see Diamond Daily and probables. | |
Tiebreaker game alert!
Next Monday and Tuesday are supposed to be off days before the playoffs begin. But don't reserve those tee times yet. According to coolstandings.com, there is now better than a 50 percent chance that at least two teams will finish the regular season in a tie, and possibly more. Which would result in games Monday, and maybe Tuesday, and possibly even Wednesday. Here are coolstandings' estimates for all those scenarios:- Two-team playoff: 40.0%
- Three-team playoff: 11.2%
- Four-team playoff: 0.6%
- Five-team playoff: less than 0.1% (but it could still happen)
If the season ended today
Fortunately for a bunch of these teams, the season isn't real likely to end today. But if it did, here are your prospective matchups:- American League: Red Sox-Angels, Indians-Yankees
- National League: Diamondbacks-Cubs, Mets-Padres
Around the Pulse-hood
• No team looks scarier to play than the Yankees right now. But they reminded us again Tuesday that they still have their issues. After Kei Igawa miraculously spun off five shutout innings in Tampa Bay, their bullpen kicked away a five-run lead. Which means all Yankees relievers not named Mariano Rivera and Joba Chamberlain have allowed 20 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings (an 11.49 ERA) in their past five games.
• Another Yankees red flag: Roger Clemens was scratched from yet another start because of what the team is describing as a strained left hamstring. But remember, Clemens also got a cortisone shot in his elbow a couple of weeks ago. So if he makes a start in the playoffs, as he keeps saying he will, it probably wouldn't be before Oct. 7 at the earliest. If he started that day, it would be Clemens' first appearance in three weeks and just his second in 34 days. True, the Rocket is used to longer periods of idleness than most pitchers. But this time around, he won't have the option of making any rehab starts in Round Rock or Scranton, due to a distinct lack of games being played in Round Rock and Scranton next month.
• The Mets have a similar saga unfolding across town with Orlando Hernandez. El Duque ditched that boot on his aching foot Tuesday and threw off a mound in a bullpen session. But it now appears unlikely he'll fit in a start before the end of the regular season. So can a guy who has pitched three innings since Aug. 30 -- and none since Sept. 11 -- make a major October contribution? Big question. And, for the Mets, a vitally important question.
• Why is it so important? Hey, have you seen the Mets' pitching lately? After their 10-9 loss to Washington on Tuesday, they've allowed 80 runs in their past 10 games, including 48 in five games to the lowest-scoring team in baseball (the Nationals). That stretch includes precisely one quality start -- by Oliver Perez (who else?) on Saturday in Florida.
• The Rockies are turning into the best story in baseball in September. Their nine-game winning streak is the longest in the glorious 15-season history of the franchise. But here's an even more relevant note: In the division-play era, only three teams have ridden a winning streak that long, this late in a season, into the playoffs: the '69 Mets (nine) and Braves (10) and the 1983 Phillies (11). The most recent near miss: Last year's Astros ran off nine in a row, starting on Sept. 20, and scared the red-blood cells out of the Cardinals, but couldn't quite catch them.
• Manny Watch: The artist formerly known as Manny Ramirez folded up the beach umbrella, ended his late-summer vacation and made it to home plate three times Tuesday night at Fenway (the recap: line-drive single to right, pop-up, walk). That makes 21 at-bats for our man Manny in the past two Septembers combined, if you're keeping track at home.
• Milton Bradley may have wiped out two-thirds of the Padres' starting outfield (spiking Mike Cameron and tearing his own ACL) on Sunday, but he left Brian Giles in one piece. Whew, good thing. The Padres were a strike away from their fifth straight loss Tuesday, but Giles interrupted a 4-for-52 funk to bomb a three-run, game-winning homer in San Francisco.
• OK, now the bad news for the Padres: Brett Tomko got them four runs down by the end of the third inning. So here's the state of the San Diego rotation if you spare Jake Peavy from cross-examination: Chris Young hasn't won in 10 starts. Greg Maddux has a 10.50 ERA in his past three starts. And the fifth starter is Jack Cassel, who lasted 2 2/3 innings Sunday in the third start of his big league career. In other words, all of a sudden the outfield isn't this team's only worry.
• The Phillies' bullpen almost looked respectable on the 8-2 road trip they completed Sunday, allowing only six earned runs in their past 33 2/3 innings (a 1.60 ERA). But back home in the pitchers' nightmare known as Citizens Bank Park, the 'pen gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings Tuesday and allowed another inherited run, charged to Moyer, to score. The Phillies are 41-17 this year when their starting pitcher gets past the sixth inning. But that's a phenomenon that's been sighted just twice in the entire month of September.
• Tuesday marked the first time in the past 50 years the Braves had ever given up four home runs in a game against the Phillies -- in Philly, Atlanta or Milwaukee -- and somehow won it. "We gave up just enough solos to survive," said Chipper Jones after digesting that little factoid.
• Finally, Prince Fielder's two homers Tuesday gave him 50 this year -- and made the Fielders (Prince and Cecil) the first father-son 50-50 combo in history. In fact, according to SABR home run aficionado David Vincent, only two other father-son duos have even made it to 30-30: Bobby and Barry Bonds, and Felipe and Moises Alou. Anybody want to take a shot at naming the only grandfather-father-son/grandson 20-20 trio? OK, time's up. It was the Bells (Gus, Buddy and David).
Jayson Stark is a senior writer for ESPN.com. His new book, "The Stark Truth: The Most Overrated and Underrated Players in Baseball History," has been published by Triumph Books and is available in bookstores. Click here to order a copy.


