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MVP voters prefer run producers

Originally Published: September 12, 2006
By Phil Rogers | Special to ESPN.com

Deductive reasoning will get you only so far with baseball writers. I know. I am one.

I have voted for baseball's top awards since 1984. I can't say I've always seen the winners coming.

Juan Gonzalez over Alex Rodriguez for the American League MVP in 1996? You could have knocked me over with a feather. Mo Vaughn over Big Al Belle the year before? Same thing.

Here's what I think about this year's AL MVP vote: My best guess says the winner will be Justin Morneau or Jermaine Dye, ...

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