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Risky business: Strasburg no sure thing

Top pitching selections have low rate of success

Updated: June 5, 2009, 12:58 PM ET
By Jim Caple | ESPN.com

After much hype, the Washington Nationals will choose Stephen Strasburg with the first pick in next week's amateur draft. The question is: Should they?

Don't get me wrong. Strasburg's fastball reaches 100 mph, his curveball might be just as impressive, he struck out nearly two batters per inning at San Diego State (23 in one game) and almost everyone who has seen him says he's going to be a very, very special pitcher in the majors.

"You're talking about one of the best pitching ...

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