PER Diem: April 23, 2009

Looks like the Cavs, Lakers and Nuggets are second-round locks. Who will join them?

Updated: April 23, 2009, 3:20 PM ET
By John Hollinger | ESPN.com

We're two games into the playoffs, and already we can break down the eight series into two groups: The three "95 percent" series and the five "50 percent" series.

First, the 95 percenters -- based on history, Cleveland, Denver and the Lakers each have at least a 95 percent chance of advancing to the second round, and having watched their series so far, that number seems low.

I say this for a couple of reasons: (1) Teams that win the first two games of a best-of-seven series ...

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