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The Heat will need to get by the Pistons on Sunday (1 ET, ABC) to keep pace for the East's fifth seed.
It wasn't that long ago when the Miami Heat and the Detroit Pistons were the top teams in the Eastern Conference. I really believe that both teams are in good position to get back there relatively soon.
Each team has a Hall of Famer calling the shots in its front office, with Pat Riley in Miami and Joe Dumars in Detroit. I think the Heat are clearly closer to competing for a championship, and if you asked both Dumars and Riley, they would have to agree with me. That's largely because of the presence of a home run hitter in the middle of Miami's lineup in
Dwyane Wade. The Pistons just don't have an answer to that right now.
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Heat at Pistons, 1 ET (ABC)
You can make a case that Wade is the league MVP this season. That goes a long way toward a quick turnaround for any franchise.
But with money to spend in the next few seasons, I think both teams are in an almost perfect position to get back to the top of the East relatively quickly.
Miami won its title in 2006 with
Shaquille O'Neal, but I don't know that the Heat have to have another elite center to compete for a championship. I think the position is a little overrated right now in the NBA. There just aren't that many great centers in the league.
If you look at the teams that are successful, you'll see a lot of them are playing power forwards at the center position.
I think the Heat ultimately do need another big man, but they have done a good job recently of acquiring pieces through the draft. When you add guys like
Michael Beasley and
Mario Chalmers, you have done a good job in getting guys who will play a big role in the future of the team.
Both of those guys can play and they are gaining valuable experience by learning on the job. That experience will help them greatly down the road. The team needs to continue to draft well, but the fact that the Heat are winning while rebuilding bodes well for them.
The Pistons have some building blocks in place as well. I think point guard
Rodney Stuckey has a bright future and is going to be a tremendous player for years to come. But Detroit needs to add some parts as well. The Pistons are going to have money and are willing to spend it. Based on his experience and track record as a proven winner, I fully expect Dumars to spend it wisely.
The Pistons are suffering a little bit now, but you have to be patient when retooling. When you get rid of
Chauncey Billups, their brain on the offensive end and a veteran point guard, you are going to lose something.
Still, I think
Allen Iverson gets talked about too much as the reason for the Pistons' struggles. Denver misses some of the things that he brought to the table. He's a flat-out scorer and made things easy at times for his teams when they needed to score points. But trades are, by their definition, a give-and-take proposition. I'm not sure he'll be a long-term part of Detroit's plans but I believe he has a lot of basketball left to give.
Mark Jackson played 17 seasons in the NBA and is now an analyst for ESPN.
Dimes past: March 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14-15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21-22
ESPN Research
Most expected Allen Iverson to give the Pistons' offense a shot in the arm when he first came to Detroit. But despite A.I.'s gaudy scoring averages over his 12 NBA seasons and reputation as an elite scorer, the Pistons are actually a better team offensively without him.
With him, Detroit has a minus-41 plus-minus, but without him, its plus-minus shoots up to plus-eight.
| Detroit Pistons This Season
With and Without Allen Iverson on the Court |
|
With Iverson |
Without Iverson |
| Points scored per 100 possessions |
105.3 |
110.1 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions |
107.0 |
109.2 |
| Net points (+/-) |
-41 |
+8 |
| Net points per 100 possessions |
-1.7 |
+1.0 |
| Offensive rebound percentage |
25.7 |
33.6 |
Note: All data through March 16 |
A similar trend appeared when Iverson was with the Nuggets. Although Denver's offense was better than Detroit's, the Nuggets were never actually better without Iverson on the court (plus-94) than with him (plus-38).
| 2006-07 Denver Nuggets
With and Without Allen Iverson on the Court |
|
With Iverson |
Without Iverson |
| Points scored per 100 possessions |
108.1 |
110.1 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions |
106.3 |
107.6 |
| Net points (+/-) |
+38 |
+94 |
| Net points per 100 possessions |
+1.8 |
+2.5 |
| Offensive rebound percentage |
29.4 |
32.5 |
Despite going on a four-game winning streak immediately after Iverson went on the shelf with a back injury, the Pistons are 7-6 overall without A.I. in the lineup and 23-29 with him.
Information from 82Games.com was used in this report, which was compiled by Alok Pattani of ESPN Stats & Analysis.
By Kevin Arnovitz
TrueHoop
MIAMI HEAT
The Heat have a negative point differential for the season, and the team's reserves account for that deficit. Head coach Eric Spoelstra has an extremely fluid rotation. In Miami's past four games, Spoelstra has used the same starting lineup, but has given bench minutes to seven different players.
Daequan Cook and rookie Michael Beasley have emerged as the clear No. 6 and No. 7 guys in the rotation. Cook can shoot the lights out, guard both wing positions and has improved his ballhandling skills. Beasley usually checks in for
Jermaine O'Neal midway through the first and third quarters, and will occasionally finish games. After that, it's a bit of a muddle.
Yakhouba Diawara gives Spoelstra another defender on the wings, but that's the extent of his game right now.
James Jones has never found his shot after being sidelined for the first 10 weeks of the season with a hand injury.
Backup point guard has been a revolving door for Miami. The Heat have used
Marcus Banks (traded to Toronto in the
Shawn Marion-Jermaine O'Neal deal),
Chris Quinn, Cook (a shooting guard) and now
Luther Head, who was signed on March 4. The former Rocket saw his first action Saturday in Miami's triple-overtime win over Utah, playing 21 minutes, while Quinn remained on the pine. In the post, veteran
Jamaal Magloire and
Joel Anthony will compete for playing time, though neither has emerged as the preferred option.
Indications are that Spoelstra's depth chart in a first-round playoff series will likely be dictated by matchups rather than habit, but it's worth tracking the box scores to see who's getting the lion's share of the bench minutes in the final four weeks of the regular season.
DETROIT PISTONS
One question preoccupies any discussion of the Pistons' bench: What happens when Allen Iverson returns? The assumption is that Michael Curry will bring Iverson off the bench. The head coach
even suggested recently that Iverson will pick up
Will Bynum's minutes as the Pistons' backup point guard. Between Iverson, Rodney Stuckey and Rip Hamilton, the Pistons' 96 backcourt minutes will be accounted for, with little time left over for Bynum.
Antonio McDyess, Detroit's longtime reserve, has been slotted into the starting lineup. For the time being,
Jason Maxiell has emerged as Curry's preferred big off the bench. Maxiell has been picking up starts in
Rasheed Wallace's absence, and has seen his minutes gradually increase. Curry will also look to
Kwame Brown and
Amir Johnson, though more sporadically.
Walter Herrmann is the wild card. Since the All-Star break, Herrmann has been tallying double-digit minutes more games than not, mostly at the small forward position, where he spreads the floor for the second unit.
The Pistons have traditionally been a strong bench team. If Iverson can embrace the role as Energy Guy Off the Bench, Maxiell can continue to shoot over 60 percent from the field, as he has for the calendar year, and Herrmann can spell
Tayshaun Prince with serviceable minutes at the 3, that tradition should continue.
Read TrueHoop's breakdown of every contender's bench situation here.
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