2009 NBA Playoff Odds

Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds are based on the Hollinger Power Rankings, designed by ESPN.com's John Hollinger.

HOLLINGER RANKINGS
 
• Power Rankings: Who's No. 1?
• Player Stats: PER leaders
• Team Stats: Efficiency leaders


The Hollinger Power Rankings are a measure of each team's performance in the season so far.

Based on those rankings, each day the computer plays out the remainder of the season 5,000 times to see the potential range of projected outcomes. The results reveal the most likely win-loss record for each team -- and what the odds are for each team to make the NBA playoffs, win the NBA title, win the lottery, and so on.

For more on how the system works and what it means, see Hollinger's explanation.

Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds are updated automatically each night.

Eastern Conference
  ACTUAL PROJECTED ODDS (%)
Team W L W L Best Worst Playoffs Division No. 1 Finals Champs Lottery*
6616661666-1666-16100.0100.0100.045.929.10.0
6220622062-2062-20100.0100.00.023.111.50.0
5923592359-2359-23100.0100.00.022.613.30.0
4735473547-3547-35100.00.00.02.80.50.0
4339433943-3943-39100.00.00.03.11.10.0
4141414141-4141-41100.00.00.00.70.10.0
4141414141-4141-41100.00.00.01.20.20.0
3943394339-4339-43100.00.00.00.70.10.0
3646364636-4636-460.00.00.00.00.00.6
3547354735-4735-470.00.00.00.00.00.7
3448344834-4834-480.00.00.00.00.00.6
3448344834-4834-480.00.00.00.00.01.2
3349334933-4933-490.00.00.00.00.01.8
3250325032-5032-500.00.00.00.00.03.9
1963196319-6319-630.00.00.00.00.020.4
Western Conference
  ACTUAL PROJECTED ODDS (%)
Team W L W L Best Worst Playoffs Division No. 1 Finals Champs Lottery*
6517651765-1765-17100.0100.0100.034.620.20.0
5428542854-2854-28100.0100.00.011.63.50.0
5428542854-2854-28100.00.00.023.39.50.0
5428542854-2854-28100.0100.00.011.44.00.0
5329532953-2953-29100.00.00.09.33.60.0
5032503250-3250-32100.00.00.04.21.20.0
4933493349-3349-33100.00.00.02.00.90.0
4834483448-3448-34100.00.00.03.51.10.0
4636463646-3646-360.00.00.00.00.00.4
2953295329-5329-530.00.00.00.00.03.1
2458245824-5824-580.00.00.00.00.07.5
2458245824-5824-580.00.00.00.00.08.1
2359235923-5923-590.00.00.00.00.010.8
1963196319-6319-630.00.00.00.00.015.9
1765176517-6517-650.00.00.00.00.025.2
Hollinger Playoff Odds Glossary
W = Average number of wins from 5,000 computer-simulated seasons, based on the Hollinger Power Rankings
L = Average number of losses
Best = Best record from simulated seasons
Worst = Worst record from simulated seasons
Playoffs = Likelihood of making the playoffs
Division = Likelihood of winning the division
No. 1 = Likelihood of holding the top seed for the conference
Finals = Likelihood of making the NBA Finals
Champs = Likelihood of winning the NBA title
Lottery = Likelihood of winning the lottery

INSIDE NBA

LeBron James and Chris Paul

Get your fantasy fix with ESPN.com's free draft kit, player rankings and more.

Fantasy Draft Kit

NBA Power Rankings

One week in the books and we already have a new No. 1 and 2. Who leaped the champs?

Power Rankings

Ron Artest

Ron Artest's L.A debut hasn't been great. But he and the Lakers aren't too concerned.

Daily Dime

LeBron James and Dwyane Wade

Which teams will have money to spend in free agency this summer? Here's the latest.

Weekend Dime

Duncan, James & Nelson

LeBron on the decline? John Hollinger unveils his All-Decline Team for the '09-10 season.

Hollinger's PER Diem Insider

NBA Rookie 50

ESPN.com's Rookie Rankings are back! Find out who David Thorpe has at No. 1.

Rookie Watch Insider