2009 NBA Playoff Odds
Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds are based on the Hollinger Power Rankings, designed by ESPN.com's John Hollinger.
| HOLLINGER RANKINGS |
| • Power Rankings: Who's No. 1? • Player Stats: PER leaders • Team Stats: Efficiency leaders |
Based on those rankings, each day the computer plays out the remainder of the season 5,000 times to see the potential range of projected outcomes. The results reveal the most likely win-loss record for each team -- and what the odds are for each team to make the NBA playoffs, win the NBA title, win the lottery, and so on.
For more on how the system works and what it means, see Hollinger's explanation.
Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds are updated automatically each night.
| Eastern Conference | |||||||||||||||
|   | ACTUAL | PROJECTED | ODDS (%) | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Playoffs | Division | No. 1 | Finals | Champs | Lottery* | |||
| 66 | 16 | 66 | 16 | 66-16 | 66-16 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 45.9 | 29.1 | 0.0 | ||||
| 62 | 20 | 62 | 20 | 62-20 | 62-20 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 23.1 | 11.5 | 0.0 | ||||
| 59 | 23 | 59 | 23 | 59-23 | 59-23 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 22.6 | 13.3 | 0.0 | ||||
| 47 | 35 | 47 | 35 | 47-35 | 47-35 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | ||||
| 43 | 39 | 43 | 39 | 43-39 | 43-39 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | ||||
| 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41-41 | 41-41 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
| 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41-41 | 41-41 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||
| 39 | 43 | 39 | 43 | 39-43 | 39-43 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
| 36 | 46 | 36 | 46 | 36-46 | 36-46 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | ||||
| 35 | 47 | 35 | 47 | 35-47 | 35-47 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | ||||
| 34 | 48 | 34 | 48 | 34-48 | 34-48 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | ||||
| 34 | 48 | 34 | 48 | 34-48 | 34-48 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | ||||
| 33 | 49 | 33 | 49 | 33-49 | 33-49 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | ||||
| 32 | 50 | 32 | 50 | 32-50 | 32-50 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9 | ||||
| 19 | 63 | 19 | 63 | 19-63 | 19-63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.4 | ||||
| Western Conference | |||||||||||||||
|   | ACTUAL | PROJECTED | ODDS (%) | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Playoffs | Division | No. 1 | Finals | Champs | Lottery* | |||
| 65 | 17 | 65 | 17 | 65-17 | 65-17 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 34.6 | 20.2 | 0.0 | ||||
| 54 | 28 | 54 | 28 | 54-28 | 54-28 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 0.0 | ||||
| 54 | 28 | 54 | 28 | 54-28 | 54-28 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.3 | 9.5 | 0.0 | ||||
| 54 | 28 | 54 | 28 | 54-28 | 54-28 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| 53 | 29 | 53 | 29 | 53-29 | 53-29 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | ||||
| 50 | 32 | 50 | 32 | 50-32 | 50-32 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | ||||
| 49 | 33 | 49 | 33 | 49-33 | 49-33 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | ||||
| 48 | 34 | 48 | 34 | 48-34 | 48-34 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | ||||
| 46 | 36 | 46 | 36 | 46-36 | 46-36 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | ||||
| 29 | 53 | 29 | 53 | 29-53 | 29-53 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | ||||
| 24 | 58 | 24 | 58 | 24-58 | 24-58 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5 | ||||
| 24 | 58 | 24 | 58 | 24-58 | 24-58 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1 | ||||
| 23 | 59 | 23 | 59 | 23-59 | 23-59 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.8 | ||||
| 19 | 63 | 19 | 63 | 19-63 | 19-63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.9 | ||||
| 17 | 65 | 17 | 65 | 17-65 | 17-65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.2 | ||||
| Hollinger Playoff Odds Glossary |
| W = Average number of wins from 5,000 computer-simulated seasons, based on the Hollinger Power Rankings |
| L = Average number of losses |
| Best = Best record from simulated seasons |
| Worst = Worst record from simulated seasons |
| Playoffs = Likelihood of making the playoffs |
| Division = Likelihood of winning the division |
| No. 1 = Likelihood of holding the top seed for the conference |
| Finals = Likelihood of making the NBA Finals |
| Champs = Likelihood of winning the NBA title |
| Lottery = Likelihood of winning the lottery |
