Summer Forecast: Conference finals predictions
According to 25 ESPN writers, editors and contributors, the Celtics and Lakers might as well have played a 14-game series back in June. Why? The same two teams are headed on a collision course at the end of the 2008-09 season, with one little twist: This time, the Lakers will be crowned champions.
Here is the committee's early forecast for who will come out on top in the Eastern and Western conferences:
|2008-09 PREDICTIONS: EASTERN CONFERENCE CHAMPS|
|1||Boston Celtics||55-27 (.671)||17|
|2||Cleveland Cavaliers||50-32 (.610)||6|
|3||Philadelphia Sixers||47-35 (.573)||2|
Fresh off winning the NBA title, it is a safe assumption that the Celtics will dial down their intensity level on defense, right? No chance. Kevin Garnett would never let that happen.
For starters, the ultrafocused Garnett will keep the team hungry. Secondly, unlike the West, there aren't as many quality challengers in the East. Lastly, despite losing James Posey to the Hornets, Boston has plenty of young players, such as Leon Powe, Rajon Rondo and Kendrick Perkins, ready to make sizable contributions.
Still, where is the love for the perennial Eastern Conference power Pistons? Not a single person on our panel thinks Detroit will win the East. Interesting.
Although other teams in the East are deeper, more experienced and, top to bottom, more talented, only one squad has James, and that is Cleveland. He has carried the Cavs to the Finals on his back before, and if the role players can step up, a return trip is possible.
Andre Miller is an underrated floor leader, Louis Williams and Thaddeus Young have shown flashes of brilliance, and Samuel Dalembert has the tools to be one of the top big men in the conference. How far the Sixers go in the playoffs may come down to the outside shooting of Kareem Rush and Donyell Marshall.
|2008-09 PREDICTIONS: WESTERN CONFERENCE CHAMPS|
|1||Los Angeles Lakers||55-27 (.671)||14|
|2||New Orleans Hornets||55-27 (.671)||8|
|3||Houston Rockets||53-29 (.646)||3|
Last offseason, the biggest on-court topic of conversation was how unhappy Kobe Bryant was with the inability of the Lakers' front office to surround him with a championship-caliber roster.
Although that puzzle obviously was solved, Bryant and the Lakers still are making headline news as we approach training camp for the 2008-09 campaign:
1. Is the reigning league MVP making the right decision by not having surgery to fix his pinkie?
2. How will L.A. work Andrew Bynum into the lineup without disrupting team chemistry?
Despite those two lingering questions, our experts have little doubt that the Lakers are the team to beat in the West. Bryant will be hungrier than ever in his quest to win a championship without Shaquille O'Neal, and the Lakers' already effective bench gained a year of valuable experience.
However, the Hornets' bandwagon is getting crowded, too, after putting together the best season in franchise history. With an MVP candidate in Chris Paul, an All-Star in David West and a championship glue guy in James Posey, the Hornets will be there if the Lakers slip up.
But some believe the Rockets will be crowned West champs, even though Tracy McGrady is 0-7 in the first round of the playoffs. The addition of Ron Artest has some convinced that Houston will win not only one playoff series but three. Still, T-Mac and Yao Ming have to stay healthy.
Oddly enough, the panel either forgot that the Spurs win the NBA title every other year (2003, 2005, 2007) or doesn't care. How else do you explain San Antonio's not receiving a single vote to win the West?
Predictions compiled from the forecasts of 25 ESPN writers, editors and contributors: Henry Abbott, J.A. Adande, Kevin Arnovitz, Jon Barry, Jordan Brenner, Maurice Brooks, Chris Broussard, Ric Bucher, Chad Ford, Jemele Hill, John Hollinger, Mark Jackson, Scoop Jackson, Tim Legler, Jackie MacMullan, Chris Palmer, Chris Ramsay, Dr. Jack Ramsay, Jalen Rose, Chris Sheridan, Marc Stein, David Thorpe, Royce Webb, Brian Windhorst and Matt Wong.
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