Florida State 30, North Carolina 27

1234T
FSU (3-4)33141030
UNC (4-3)1437327

Final

8:00 PM ET, October 22, 2009
Kenan Stadium
CHAPEL HILL, NC

Florida St.-North Carolina Preview

AccuScore Projections
AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every College Football game on ESPN.com, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions and opponent's abilities. Each game is simulated and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages.
View All College Football Projections
Matchup
 W-LPFPAHOMEROADDIVCONF
FSU3-42091961-32-10-11-3
UNC4-31621153-21-10-20-3
· Complete Standings
In Close Games (7 points or less. Since 2001)
 RECORD
FSU9 - 14
UNC15 - 13
Record When Scoring... (Since 2001)
 20 OR MORE30 OR MORE40 OR MORE50 OR MORE
FSU61-18-046-2-026-1-010-0-0
UNC36-25-026-7-011-1-01-0-0
 LESS THAN 20LESS THAN 30LESS THAN 40LESS THAN 50
FSU8-22-023-38-043-39-059-40-0
UNC7-35-017-53-032-59-042-60-0
TEAM AVERAGES & NCAA RANKS
OFFENSETMPER GAME AVERAGE / NCAA RANK
Total YardsFSU
 
434.7 / 21st
UNC
 
296.0 / 113th
Passing YardsFSU
 
298.3 / 15th
UNC
 
172.2 / 106th
Rushing YardsFSU
 
148.6 / 59th
UNC
 
135.2 / 76th
Points ScoredFSU
 
31.6 / 28th
UNC
 
24.1 / 87th
Full Team Stats: Florida State | North Carolina
THIS WEEK'S LINE
FAVORITESPREADUNDERDOGOVER/UNDER
UNC2FLORIDAST48
Full Daily Lines
Individual Leaders
Florida State Passing
 CMP%YDSTDINT
Ponder68.82717147
Manuel64.743014
North Carolina Passing
 CMP%YDSTDINT
Yates59.916731013
Draugh...100.03400
Florida State Rushing
 CARYDSAVGTD
Thomas1316905.37
Jones512514.95
North Carolina Rushing
 CARYDSAVGTD
Housto...1505723.89
Draugh...1245674.61
Florida State Receiving
 RECYDSAVGTD
Reed5367112.70
Owens5365212.33
North Carolina Receiving
 RECYDSAVGTD
Little494789.83
Highsm...3338311.62
Full Player Stats: Florida State | North Carolina

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (AP) -- Entering the season, this seemed like the perfect setup for North Carolina and Florida State: a nationally televised game, the first Thursday night home date in Tar Heels' history and a matchup of contenders in the Atlantic Coast Conference division races.

Reality has turned out much differently.

These are teams that have gone from nationally ranked to a combined 0-5 in the ACC heading into late October. One boasts the league's best offense and its worst defense, the other has the best defense and the worst offense. And both have plenty of unfulfilled expectations and frustrated fans.

At least the Tar Heels (4-2, 0-2) can still claim the benefit of that national TV audience to showcase Butch Davis' program and the novelty of the first Thursday nighter at Kenan Stadium.

"It's going to be a special night," North Carolina quarterback T.J. Yates said. "It's going to be a different feel."

Probably, but it's a lot less glamorous than everyone expected when the schedules were set. Bobby Bowden's Seminoles (2-4, 0-3) were ranked 18th to start the year, but they've lost three straight games -- all by 10 or fewer points -- and have had to work through the growing distraction of Bowden's uncertain future at the program he built into a national power.

No one has to tell the Seminoles what they need to do more to quiet all the chatter.

"Knowing the potential we have and the talent we have on this team, I really think we shouldn't be 2-4," receiver Bert Reed said. "But it is what it is. We have to learn from everything we've done and not let it happen again."

While the Seminoles still have a strong offense led by quarterback Christian Ponder, the defense ranks as the league's worst (426.7 yards per game) and is allowing 28 points per game. In the last loss, the Seminoles gave up 49 points to the Yellow Jackets, though Bowden sounds optimistic.

"We've had a hard time stopping the big play," Bowden said. "We'll go out there and stop a team and stop a team and stop a team, and then, whoop. So if they ever get that squared away, we'll be a pretty good ballclub."

The Tar Heels could say the same thing about their offense. While the defense is among the nation's best (237.7 ypg), the offense has been awful (282 ypg) and managed a combined 10 points in league losses to Georgia Tech and then-winless Virginia.

North Carolina, ranked as high as 19th in early September, used its off week to do what the team described as self-scouting and restore their banged-up morale.

"We got our head back on straight," cornerback Kendric Burney said. "All the frustration is pretty much gone. It helps that we're playing on a Thursday night for the whole world. It's definitely going to help us out."

The other challenge was more for the university, namely with the logistics of holding the game at Kenan -- which is nestled in the center of campus and backs up against UNC Hospitals. The game was timed to take place during the school's fall break so as not to seriously interfere with classes, while the hospital closed clinics early and the school ended its work day two hours early to get ready for the crush of fans.

In addition, ESPN agreed to broadcast the game at a slightly later start time of 8 p.m. to accommodate fans whose drive to campus will coincide with the rush-hour delays that are a frequent occurrence along Interstate 40 between "Triangle" cities Chapel Hill, Durham and Raleigh.

Those headaches, however, are worth it for a program that Davis aims to put among the nation's elite again.

"Games like this certainly become to some extent measuring sticks," Davis said. "At some point, you want to find out the progress. Are you making progress that you hope you're making? The exposure is always good. I think it'll be a great atmosphere. It'll be something that's never happened here before.

"There's a lot of things still left to do in building and growing this football program. ... This is one of several steps that have to take place, but this will be a good one."

College Football Scores

Other Scores:

Thursday, October 22nd
Florida State 30 Final
North Carolina 27
Saturday, October 24th
Clemson 40 Final
10 Miami (FL) 37 OT
12 Georgia Tech 34 Final
Virginia 9
Maryland 13 Final
Duke 17
Boston College 16 Final
Notre Dame 20
Wake Forest 10 Final
Navy 13