Mechelle Voepel's breakdown
No. 8 Dayton vs. No. 9 TCU (ESPN2/ESPN360.com, 2:30 p.m. ET Saturday): The Flyers and Frogs have never met, and their histories are pretty different. TCU has been to the NCAA tournament in nine of the past 10 seasons, which is part of why coach Jeff Mittie's name has been floating around for a while now regarding the open Missouri job. Plus he's from Blue Springs, Mo., outside Kansas City. (Not to mention his TCU team beat MU rival Kansas this season, something the Tigers themselves didn't do.)
TCU won the Mountain West regular-season title, but was upset in the league tournament semifinals by Utah. TCU junior Helena Sverrisdottir was the MWC Player of the Year. The big nonconference win for TCU was against Texas A&M.
Meanwhile, Dayton was one of the happiest places to be on selection day. The Dayton women had never been to the NCAA tournament, despite being in a talent-rich girls' basketball state. Coach Jim Jabir and the Flyers have knocked on the door before, as this is their third consecutive season with at least 21 victories.
A second-place finish in the Atlantic 10 helped them earn an at-large berth, despite losing to Temple in the A-10 tourney semifinals. This is a very balanced team -- led by sophomore Justine Raterman -- that beat the likes of Michigan State, Georgetown and Purdue in nonconference play.
• Jasmine Thomas, Duke: The junior point guard was a first-team All-ACC selection and helped the Blue Devils win the program's sixth league tournament title.
• Brittney Griner, Baylor: The freshman sensation had to endure a harsh spotlight after the punching incident at Texas Tech, but now just wants to show how much she can dominate a game. She might get a chance to play Tennessee for the second time this season.
• Angie Bjorklund, Tennessee: The team's leader and top scorer, she has been the one to make the big plays this season when needed.
Three under the radar
• Allison Hightower, LSU: Her name is well-known, but LSU was under the radar for her senior season, going 9-7 in the SEC. Still, Hightower averaged 18.5 points and could help LSU give Duke problems if they meet in the second round.
• Sugar Rodgers, Georgetown: The only freshman to make the All-Big East first team, she helped the Hoyas finish 13-3 in the league and earn the program's second NCAA tournament berth. The other was in 1993.
• Jene Morris, San Diego State: The MWC's Defensive Player of the Year, she had 21 points in a 70-60 overtime win against Utah in the conference tournament final.
Charlie Creme's take
Who's Hot: No. 1 seed Tennessee. The Lady Vols have not lost since Jan. 21, and only Connecticut has them beaten for higher-caliber competition. Pat Summitt would be the first to say this team isn't flawless, but no one has been able to fully expose those flaws in quite some time.
Who's Not: No. 10 seed Hartford. The Hawks have lost only one game since mid-December -- the America East tournament final to Vermont -- but in the semifinals they lost more than a game when defensive star and veteran leader Erica Beverly went down with a season-ending knee injury. Her absence probably cost Hartford a couple of seed lines and might cost the Hawks a chance to do anything significant in this tournament.
Possible matchup to watch: Lamar's Jenna Plumley versus West Virginia's Sarah Miles. Plumley, a transfer from Oklahoma, has been an incredibly productive player all season for Lamar. If Miles slows her down significantly, the Cardinals are toast. If Plumley gets going and gets others involved, this one could stay interesting for a while.
Possible upset: No. 11 San Diego State over No. 6 Texas in the first round. Playing in Austin by no means makes the Longhorns safe; they lost at home three times this season. San Diego State has the guard play in Jene Morris, Coco Davis and Quenese Davis to exploit Texas' biggest weakness. These might be two of the most Jekyll-and-Hyde teams in the country this season.