Playoff repeat becoming big challenge
While the Bucs' and Raiders' woes have been well-documented, they're not the only '02 playoff teams struggling.
While the NFL celebrates perhaps its best weekend slate ever, nine playoff teams from last year fret.
Though the Packers, who have dropped from a 12-win season to a competitive 6-6, still have hopes of making the playoffs, eight other teams wonder what happened to their playoff bids. Parity is one thing, but it's the first week of December and these teams are fast-forwarding to next season.
Each season as the salary cap becomes more manageable for most teams, it becomes clearer how this league operates. The playoff window isn't open very long for a team because the league is set up to spread the excitement of the playoffs. Some teams can beat the odds, but for the most part, a well-run franchise can get three or four cracks at the playoffs before significant slippage in regards to players' performances occurs. Included in that three- or four-year cycle is probably a season in which the team finishes a tie-breaker out of the playoffs.

For the most part, though, all but maybe the Falcons failed because they did their best to retain the starting units that took them to the playoffs the previous year. And what's wrong with that? Fans would run coaches and general managers out of their cities if they didn't bring back the players who helped in a playoff run.
In fact, look at the Browns. Butch Davis ran off his top four linebackers and starting cornerback Corey Fuller from a 9-7 wild-card team. The Browns were over the cap and they wanted to use three linebackers drafted in 2002. That roster turnover didn't lead to the Browns' downfall. What did was Davis' inability to do anything else to add to the roster.
Subtracting is one thing, but removing without replacing can take a 9-7 team to 4-8 quicker than anything. His only free-agent addition was linebacker Barry Gardner, a backup in Philadelphia and now a backup in Cleveland. His draft was equally worth a yawn. Sure, Jeff Faine could end up being a Pro Bowl center of the future, but his entry came at the expense of veteran Dave Wohlabaugh, who may have been overpaid in Cleveland but is one of the main reasons the Rams have one of the league's best offensive lines.
Davis has clear control of coaching and personnel decisions in Cleveland, another reason to stress the value of having a coach and general manager who work together instead of letting one guy who is preoccupied make all the decisions. It's a complex balance to find the right combinations of building for the future while maintaining a playoff team for the present.
Another factor clearly is parity. Figure that 22 teams are between 9-7 and 7-9 based on their talent -- roughly one or two plays away from winning or losing seasons. This year, 58 percent of the games are decided by eight points or less.
I also maintain the schedule can help a team one year and hurt them the next. The Packers played a .451 schedule last year and won 12, but didn't look like a 12-win team when the Falcons drilled them at Lambeau Field in the first round of the playoffs. Their three-receiver set of Donald Driver, Javon Walker and Robert Ferguson didn't advance as much as they thought for Brett Favre and the cornerback change of Al Harris for Tyrone Williams and adding defensive rookie of the year candidate Nick Barnett at middle linebacker didn't significantly upgrade the defense.
Conversely, the Packers have played six games so far against teams likely headed to the playoffs and are just 2-4.
Let's briefly study this year's failings.
| The playoff window isn't open very long for a team because the league is set up to spread the excitement of the playoffs. | ||
John Clayton is a senior NFL writer for ESPN.com.
