High risks, high costs associated with high picks

The draft always will be a guessing game to some extent, but with rookie salaries escalating sharply for top picks, NFL teams appear increasingly wary of picking early.

Originally Published: February 27, 2008
By Mike Sando | ESPN.com

Twenty-five players have entered the NFL as top-five overall draft choices since 2003.

Twelve of the 18 teams responsible for those selections haven't won a playoff game since drafting in the top five.

Ten failed to finish last season with a winning record.

Seven have made two top-five selections since 2003, but only one of them, the New York Jets, has a playoff victory to show for its investments.

Those seven teams -- Oakland, Detroit, ...

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