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Third-down efficiency propels Schaub, Texans

Originally Published: October 27, 2008
By Bill Barnwell | Football Outsiders

Some events in the NFL are incredibly useful but not at all repeatable or predictable. These plays or series of plays can significantly impact a team's likelihood of winning a game without meaning anything for a future matchup.

Take third-down performance, for example. In our research at Football Outsiders, we've discovered that teams that play significantly better on third down than they do on first and second down in a given year tend to see that third-down performance regress ...

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