Indianapolis 17, San Diego 23

1 2 3 4 OT T
IND (12-4) 7 3 7 0 0 17
SDG (8-8) 0 14 0 3 6 23

Final

8:00 PM ET
January 3, 2009
Qualcomm Stadium,
San Diego, CA
THIS WEEK'S LINE
FAVORITE SPREAD UNDERDOG OVER/UNDER
San Diego 2.0 Indianapolis 50.0
 · View expanded line information
2008 TRENDS (Post Season)
The Colts are 0-1 ATS.
The Colts are 0-1 ATS away.
The Colts are 0-1 ATS as the underdog.
The Colts are 0-1 ATS as an away underdog.
The Chargers are 1-1 ATS.
The Chargers are 1-0 ATS at home.
The Chargers are 1-0 ATS as the favorite.
The Chargers are 1-0 ATS as a home favorite.

In-Depth Colts/Chargers Trending Data

Head 2 Head (since 2001)
SU2-4-0
2008: 1-1-0
4-2-0
2008: 1-1-0
ATS1-2-0
2008: 0-1-0
2-1-0
2008: 1-0-0
ATS @SDG1-1-0
2008: 0-1-0
1-1-0
2008: 1-0-0
ATS: favored0-2-0
2008:      --
0-1-0
2008: 1-0-0
ATS: underdog1-0-0
2008: 0-1-0
2-0-0
2008:      --
TEAM AVERAGES & NFL RANKS
TEAM OFFENSETMPER GAME AVERAGE
Total YardsIND
 
 335.5
SDG
 
 349.0
Yards PassingIND
 
 255.9
SDG
 
 241.1
Yards RushingIND
 
 79.6
SDG
 
 107.9
TEAM DEFENSETMPER GAME AVERAGE
Yards AllowedIND
 
 310.9
SDG
 
 349.9
Pass Yds AllowedIND
 
 188.1
SDG
 
 247.4
Rush Yds AllowedIND
 
 122.9
SDG
 
 102.6
Expert Picks
Allen
Chargers
Golic
Colts
Hoge
Colts
Jaworski
Colts
Mortensen
Colts
Schefter
No Pick
Schlereth
Colts
Wickersham
Colts
· Make Your Pigskin Pick'em Picks
Projected Top Offensive Performers
QB RB WR
Scott Ciurciu Shepherd
Scott Ciurciu Shepherd
C/ATT: 25.0/35.0
YDS: 290.0
TD: 2.2
CAR: 19.0
YDS: 100.0
TD: 0.8
REC: 6.8
YDS: 96.0
TD: 0.6
Both teams are very hot, but the Chargers benefited by playing in a very weak division. San Diego was 5-1 in the AFC West winning by an average of 11.5 points. In non-division games they had a 3-7 record with a +2.3 average margin of victory. The Colts meanwhile had a 4-2 record in the strong AFC South and an 8-2 non-divisional record that was comparable to the Chargers non-divisional record. The Colts are favored because Peyton Manning is on a roll. He is completing over 70 percent of his passes in simulations for 280+ yards. His great performance opens things up for the combo of Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes who have not been healthy at the same time most of this season. When Addai has 50+ rushing yards and Rhodes has at least 25 the Colts have a 77 percent chance of winning. The Chargers stars, Philip Rivers and LaDainian Tomlinson, are both forecasted for strong games as well. Rivers has averaged 2.5 TD passes per win this season vs 1.8 in losses. He has a 48 percent chance of having 2+ TD passes and if he does the Chargers are favored with a 54 percent chance. LT has averaged 80 yards per victory and just 59 per loss. If LT has at least 70 rushing yards the Chargers win 56 percent of the time. When both Rivers and LT play well the Chargers are solid 64 percent favorites.
AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.

Projections for every NFL game

AccuScore Custom Game Simulator

HEAD 2 HEAD RESULTS (SINCE 2001)
DateScoreLineO/U
Nov 23, 2008IND 23, @SDG 20SDG, -349.0
Jan 13, 2008SDG 28, @IND 24IND, -1146.5
Nov 11, 2007IND 21, @SDG 23IND, -3½47.5
Dec 18, 2005SDG 26, @IND 17IND, -6½53.0
Dec 26, 2004SDG 31, @IND 34SDG, NL0.0
LAST 10 GAMES
Colts
OppScoreLineO/U
TENW 23-0 -3 39.5
@JACW 31-24 -6 43.5
DETW 31-21 -17 45.0
CINW 35-3 -13½ 42.0
@CLEW 10-6 -4½ 44.0
@SDGW 23-20 +3 49.0
HOUW 33-27 -7½ 50.5
@PITW 24-20 +3½ 38.5
NWEW 18-15 -6½ 44.5
@TENL 21-31 +3½ 41.0
Chargers
OppScoreLineO/U
DENW 52-21 -7 50.0
@TAMW 41-24 +4½ 42.5
@KANW 22-21 -6½ 41.5
OAKW 34-7 -9 41.5
ATLL 16-22 -6½ 48.0
INDL 20-23 -3 49.0
@PITL 10-11 +4½ 40.5
KANW 20-19 -15 47.0
@NORL 32-37 -3 45.5
@BUFL 14-23 NL 0.0

NFL Scores

Saturday, January 3rd 2008
Atlanta 24 Final
Arizona 30
Indianapolis 17 Final
San Diego 23 OT
Sunday, January 4th 2008
Baltimore 27 Final
Miami 9
Philadelphia 26 Final
Minnesota 14