Baltimore 27, 
Miami 9
1:00 PM ET
January 4, 2009
Land Shark Stadium,
Miami, FL
| THIS WEEK'S LINE | |||
| FAVORITE | SPREAD | UNDERDOG | OVER/UNDER |
| Baltimore | 3½ | Miami | 38.0 |
| · View expanded line information | |||
| 2008 TRENDS (Post Season) | |
| The Ravens are 2-1 ATS. | |
| The Ravens are 2-1 ATS away. | |
| The Ravens are 1-0 ATS as the favorite. | |
| The Ravens have not been an away favorite. | |
| The Dolphins are 0-1 ATS. | |
| The Dolphins are 0-1 ATS at home. | |
| The Dolphins are 0-1 ATS as the underdog. | |
| The Dolphins are 0-1 ATS as a home underdog. | |
| Head 2 Head (since 2001) | ||
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| SU | 4-3-0 2008: 2-0-0 | 3-4-0 2008: 0-2-0 |
| ATS | 1-1-0 2008: 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 2008: 0-1-0 |
| ATS @MIA | 1-1-0 2008: 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 2008: 0-1-0 |
| ATS: favored | 0-1-0 2008: 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 2008: -- |
| ATS: underdog | 1-0-0 2008: -- | 1-0-0 2008: 0-1-0 |
| TEAM AVERAGES & NFL RANKS | |||||||||
| TEAM OFFENSE | TM | PER GAME AVERAGE | |||||||
| Total Yards | BAL | | |||||||
| MIA | | ||||||||
| Yards Passing | BAL | | |||||||
| MIA | | ||||||||
| Yards Rushing | BAL | | |||||||
| MIA | | ||||||||
| TEAM DEFENSE | TM | PER GAME AVERAGE | |||||||
| Yards Allowed | BAL | | |||||||
| MIA | | ||||||||
| Pass Yds Allowed | BAL | | |||||||
| MIA | | ||||||||
| Rush Yds Allowed | BAL | | |||||||
| MIA | | ||||||||
| Projected Top Offensive Performers | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| The Ravens defense is well designed to beat a team like the Dolphins. They stop the run (Ronnie Brown had 27 yards on 13 carries in Week 7 vs BAL) and are only really vulnerable to accurate downfield passers. Chad Pennington is very accurate but he does most of his work on short passes. Look for the Ravens LBs and DBs limiting yards after the catch so even if Chad Pennington completes 60 percent of his passes as forecasted, his yards per attempt is a shade over 6. Joe Flacco meanwhile has taken off the training wheels and begun to take advantage of his strong arm. His yards per attempt is up from 6.6 in his first 11 games to 7.6 his past 5 games despite his completion percentage going down from 62 percent to 57 percent. The combination of big passing plays and a grinding power running game is why Baltimore is scoring 20 points per sim, 3 better than the Dolphins. If LeRon McClain has 50+ yards the Ravens chances increase to 71 percent. The Dolphins can win if they force turnovers. When Joe Flacco has at least 1 interception and the Dolphins force at least 2 total turnovers they pull ahead winning 56 percent of these simulations. | ||||||||||||||||||||
AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.
| HEAD 2 HEAD RESULTS (SINCE 2001) | |||
| Date | Score | Line | O/U |
| Oct 19, 2008 | BAL 27, @MIA 13 | MIA, -2½ | 34.5 |
| Dec 16, 2007 | BAL 16, @MIA 22 | BAL, -3½ | 37.5 |
| Jan 2, 2005 | MIA 23, @BAL 30 | MIA, NL | 0.0 |
| Nov 16, 2003 | BAL 6, @MIA 9 | MIA, NL | 0.0 |
| Nov 17, 2002 | BAL 7, @MIA 26 | MIA, NL | 0.0 |
| Jan 13, 2002 | BAL 20, @MIA 3 | MIA, NL | 0.0 |
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NFL Scores
Saturday, January 3rd 2008
| Atlanta | 24 | Final |
| Arizona | 30 |
| Indianapolis | 17 | Final |
| San Diego | 23 | OT |
Sunday, January 4th 2008
| Baltimore | 27 | Final |
| Miami | 9 |
| Philadelphia | 26 | Final |
| Minnesota | 14 |