Philadelphia 26, 
Minnesota 14
4:30 PM ET
January 4, 2009
Metrodome,
Minneapolis, MN
| THIS WEEK'S LINE | |||
| FAVORITE | SPREAD | UNDERDOG | OVER/UNDER |
| Philadelphia | 3½ | Minnesota | 41.0 |
| · View expanded line information | |||
| 2008 TRENDS (Post Season) | |
| The Eagles are 2-1 ATS. | |
| The Eagles are 2-1 ATS away. | |
| The Eagles are 1-1 ATS as the favorite. | |
| The Eagles are 1-1 ATS as an away favorite. | |
| The Vikings are 0-1 ATS. | |
| The Vikings are 0-1 ATS at home. | |
| The Vikings are 0-1 ATS as the underdog. | |
| The Vikings are 0-1 ATS as a home underdog. | |
| Head 2 Head (since 2001) | ||
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| SU | 5-0-0 2008: 1-0-0 | 0-5-0 2008: 0-1-0 |
| ATS | 1-0-0 2008: 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 2008: 0-1-0 |
| ATS @MIN | 1-0-0 2008: 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 2008: 0-1-0 |
| ATS: favored | 1-0-0 2008: 1-0-0 | -- |
| ATS: underdog | -- | 0-1-0 2008: 0-1-0 |
| TEAM AVERAGES & NFL RANKS | |||||||||
| TEAM OFFENSE | TM | PER GAME AVERAGE | |||||||
| Total Yards | PHI | | |||||||
| MIN | | ||||||||
| Yards Passing | PHI | | |||||||
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| Yards Rushing | PHI | | |||||||
| MIN | | ||||||||
| TEAM DEFENSE | TM | PER GAME AVERAGE | |||||||
| Yards Allowed | PHI | | |||||||
| MIN | | ||||||||
| Pass Yds Allowed | PHI | | |||||||
| MIN | | ||||||||
| Rush Yds Allowed | PHI | | |||||||
| MIN | | ||||||||
| Projected Top Offensive Performers | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Henson | Wilson | Booty | ||||||||||||||||||
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| This is an extremely close game in simulations with the Eagles winning just under 51 percent of the simulations. The key to the game is turnovers. The Vikings nearly missed the playoffs because of their fumbling problems. The Eagles made the playoffs because the play-making defense forced three turnovers including 2 forced fumbles last week. If the Eagles force two or more turnovers their chances increase from 51 to 61 percent. However, if the Vikings hold onto the ball and have no more than 1 turnover they are favored winning 63 percent of these simulations. Another key is the Vikings run defense which is arguably the best when at full strength. However, since Pat Williams missed the last two games of the season they allowed 70 yards and 1 TD to Michael Turner and 77 yards on 5.1 ypc to Derrick Ward. Their last 2 opponents ran for over 100 yards on the Vikings defense. While Brian Westbrook is only averaging 3.4 ypc it is up from the 2.8 he averages if the Vikings were at full strength defensively. If Westbrook has at least 50 rushing yards the Eagles have a 67 percent chance of winning. If he is under 50 yards the Eagles win just 36 percent of the time. Adrian Peterson is averaging over 110 rushing yards per sim, but he is averaging twice as many lost fumbles as Westbrook. It will be vitally important for Peterson to hold onto the ball. | ||||||||||||||||||||
AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.
| HEAD 2 HEAD RESULTS (SINCE 2001) | |||
| Date | Score | Line | O/U |
| Oct 28, 2007 | PHI 23, @MIN 16 | PHI, NL | 37.5 |
| Jan 16, 2005 | MIN 14, @PHI 27 | MIN, NL | 0.0 |
| Sep 20, 2004 | MIN 16, @PHI 27 | MIN, NL | 0.0 |
| Nov 11, 2001 | MIN 17, @PHI 48 | MIN, NL | 0.0 |
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NFL Scores
Saturday, January 3rd 2008
| Atlanta | 24 | Final |
| Arizona | 30 |
| Indianapolis | 17 | Final |
| San Diego | 23 | OT |
Sunday, January 4th 2008
| Baltimore | 27 | Final |
| Miami | 9 |
| Philadelphia | 26 | Final |
| Minnesota | 14 |