San Diego 24, Pittsburgh 35

Intel Report Recap Box Score Play-By-Play Drive Chart Conversation
1 2 3 4 T
SDG (8-8) 7 3 0 14 24
PIT (12-4) 7 7 7 14 35

Final

4:45 PM ET
January 11, 2009
Heinz Field,
Pittsburgh, PA
THIS WEEK'S LINE
FAVORITE SPREAD UNDERDOG OVER/UNDER
Pittsburgh 6½ San Diego 38.0
 · View expanded line information
2008 TRENDS (Post Season)
The Chargers are 1-1 ATS.
The Chargers are 0-1 ATS away.
The Chargers are 0-1 ATS as the underdog.
The Chargers are 0-1 ATS as an away underdog.
The Steelers are 2-1 ATS.
The Steelers are 2-0 ATS at home.
The Steelers are 2-1 ATS as the favorite.
The Steelers are 2-0 ATS as a home favorite.

In-Depth Chargers/Steelers Trending Data

Head 2 Head (since 2001)
SU1-4-0
2008: 0-2-0		4-1-0
2008: 2-0-0
ATS2-2-0
2008: 0-1-0		2-2-0
2008: 1-0-0
ATS @PIT1-1-0
2008: 0-1-0		1-1-0
2008: 1-0-0
ATS: favored1-1-0
2008:      --		1-1-0
2008: 1-0-0
ATS: underdog1-1-0
2008: 0-1-0		1-1-0
2008:      --
TEAM AVERAGES & NFL RANKS
TEAM OFFENSETMPER GAME AVERAGE
Total YardsSDG
 
 349.0
PIT
 
 311.9
Yards PassingSDG
 
 241.1
PIT
 
 206.3
Yards RushingSDG
 
 107.9
PIT
 
 105.6
TEAM DEFENSETMPER GAME AVERAGE
Yards AllowedSDG
 
 349.9
PIT
 
 237.2
Pass Yds AllowedSDG
 
 247.4
PIT
 
 156.9
Rush Yds AllowedSDG
 
 102.6
PIT
 
 80.3
Expert Picks
Allen
Steelers
Golic
Steelers
Hoge
Steelers
Jaworski
Steelers
Mortensen
Steelers
Schefter
No Pick
Schlereth
Steelers
Wickersham
Chargers
· Make Your Pigskin Pick'em Picks
Projected Top Offensive Performers
QB RB WR
Brown Covington Carroll
Brown Covington Carroll
C/ATT: 20.0/32.0
YDS: 233.0
TD: 1.6
CAR: 18.0
YDS: 66.0
TD: 0.4
REC: 5.5
YDS: 66.0
TD: 0.5
The Chargers can upset the Steelers if they can run the ball well and the defense can force multiple turnovers. Assuming LT is out it will be up to Darren Sproles, all 5'6", 181 lbs of him to put up another huge 250+ all purpose yard performance against the battering, brutal Steelers defense. When Sproles has 50+ rushing yards and averages over 5.5 ypc the Chargers will 52 percent of the time, but there is just a 30 percent chance of this happening. The Steelers run defense allowed opposing RBs to just 3.3 ypc and even though Sproles is averaging 4.1 per sim, it will be tough for him to repeat his success of last week. The Chargers defense is keeping them close by sacking Ben Roethlisberger 2.5 times per simulation while keeping the Steelers RBs to under 4 ypc. If Ben Roethlisberger has at least 1 interception and the Chargers sack him 3 or more times the Chargers have a 56 percent chance of winning. When Ben has no more than 1 INT and no more than 3 sacks the Steelers are heavy 75 percent favorites.
AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.

Projections for every NFL game

AccuScore Custom Game Simulator

HEAD 2 HEAD RESULTS (SINCE 2001)
DateScoreLineO/U
Nov 16, 2008SDG 10, @PIT 11PIT, -4½40.5
Oct 8, 2006PIT 13, @SDG 23SDG, -337.0
Oct 10, 2005PIT 24, @SDG 22SDG, -347.0
Dec 21, 2003SDG 24, @PIT 40PIT, NL0.0
LAST 10 GAMES
Chargers
OppScoreLineO/U
INDW (OT) 23-17 -2 50.0
DENW 52-21 -7 50.0
@TAMW 41-24 +4½ 42.5
@KANW 22-21 -6½ 41.5
OAKW 34-7 -9 41.5
ATLL 16-22 -6½ 48.0
INDL 20-23 -3 49.0
@PITL 10-11 +4½ 40.5
KANW 20-19 -15 47.0
@NORL 32-37 -3 45.5
Steelers
OppScoreLineO/U
CLEW 31-0 -11½ 33.5
@TENL 14-31 +3 34.0
@BALW 13-9 +3 34.0
DALW 20-13 -4 38.0
@NWEW 33-10 +2 40.0
CINW 27-10 -12 34.5
SDGW 11-10 -4½ 40.5
INDL 20-24 -3½ 38.5
@WASW 23-6 +2½ 37.5
NYGL 14-21 -3 41.0

NFL Scores

Saturday, January 10th 2008
Baltimore 13 Final
Tennessee 10
Arizona 33 Final
Carolina 13
Sunday, January 11th 2008
Philadelphia 23 Final
NY Giants 11
San Diego 24 Final
Pittsburgh 35