Addai, Jones-Drew in select company
Joseph Addai and Maurice Jones-Drew have both started their careers in impressive fashion.
Originally Published: October 20, 2007By Aaron Schatz | FootballOutsiders.com
This week, the two will square off on Monday Night Football. To get an idea of where each player's career might be headed, we decided to look at their numbers using similarity scores.Similarity scores were first introduced by Bill James to compare current baseball players to players from the past, and the idea has spread to other sports. Similarity scores play a major role in John Hollinger's NBA analysis, and we've developed our own version that we use to look at career progressions. Similarity scores are far from perfect, of course. They compare standard statistics like yards and touchdowns, so they are subject to all kinds of biases from strength of schedule to the quality of each player's offensive line. Nevertheless, they're fun to study and do tell you some things about players. We've projected each player's numbers for the 2007 season based on their play so far -- adding a receiving touchdown, since each guy is likely to get one eventually -- and looked at players with similar numbers over a two-year span, as well as players who enjoyed similar rookie seasons.
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