Sunday Countdown online: Your weekly NFL guide

Updated: September 24, 2009

Weekly Picks

Mike Ditka Keyshawn Johnson Cris Carter Tom Jackson
  Ditka Johnson Carter Jackson
Washington @ Detroit Washington Washington Detroit Washington
Green Bay @ St. Louis Green Bay Green Bay St. Louis Green Bay
San Francisco @ Minnesota San Francisco Minnesota Minnesota Minnesota
Atlanta @ New England Atlanta New England New England New England
Tennessee @ New York Jets New York Jets New York Jets New York Jets New York Jets
Kansas City @ Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia
New York Giants @ Tampa Bay New York Giants New York Giants New York Giants New York Giants
Cleveland @ Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore
Jacksonville @ Houston Houston Houston Houston Houston
New Orleans @ Buffalo New Orleans New Orleans New Orleans New Orleans
Chicago @ Seattle Chicago Chicago Chicago Chicago
Miami @ San Diego Miami San Diego San Diego Miami
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Cincinnati
Denver @ Oakland Oakland Oakland Denver Denver
Indianapolis @ Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona Indianapolis
Carolina @ Dallas Dallas Dallas Dallas Dallas
Week 3 Record 8-8 11-5 12-4 13-3
Overall Record 31-17 32-16 33-15 37-11
More picks: Our other experts' selections | SportsNation: Pick Week 3 games

Countdown Confidential

by Sal Paolantonio, Rachel Nichols, Ed Werder and Bob Holtzman

Eagles' offense going wild: We've all heard this old saying since grade school: Necessity is the mother of invention. So, too, in football. Case in point: the Wildcat. Just like the Miami Dolphins last season, the Philadelphia Eagles are using the Wildcat offense not as a luxury but as a necessity.

In 2008, the Dolphins couldn't run the ball effectively -- that's why offensive coordinator Dan Henning abruptly started using the direct snap to running back Ronnie Brown. Indeed, of the Dolphins' 103 Wildcat plays last season, they ran the ball 98 times, averaging 5.2 yards a snap compared to 3.7 yards a rush when running the ball out of traditional formations.

DeSean Jackson

Rich Gabrielson/Icon SMI

DeSean Jackson has been a pivotal part of the Eagles' Wildcat package.

Against the Saints, with the Eagles' offensive line reshuffled thanks to injuries and running back Brian Westbrook clearly not all the way back from offseason knee and ankle surgeries, Eagles head coach Andy Reid ordered up nine Wildcat plays -- nine direct snaps to either Westbrook or wide receivers DeSean Jackson or Jeremy Maclin. It was very productive, gaining 45 yards and five first downs.

With Michael Vick now available, look for Reid to dial up more Wildcat against the Chiefs, especially if Kevin Kolb makes his second straight start at quarterback for the injured Donovan McNabb. Chiefs defensive coordinator Clancy Pendergast no doubt will try to confuse Kolb with a lot of zone blitzes. The Eagles' counterpunch to that is Vick as the added real threat of throwing the ball out of the Wildcat.

-- Sal Paolantonio

Jets confident with rookie Sanchez: The Jets auditioned a new quarterback this week -- owner Woody Johnson.

"We're always looking for guys out there, and we only have four quarterbacks on the roster," coach Rex Ryan said, laughing. "We've got to work on that movement outside of the pocket, but he has a good arm."

As much fun as Ryan had watching Johnson toss some balls around with the team Wednesday, he is happy to stick with his current starter. Mark Sanchez has hardly played like a rookie so far this season, racking up a 60.4 completion percentage and a 91.3 passer rating, and he now turns his attention to a Titans secondary that gave up more than 350 passing yards against Houston in Week 2. 

The opportunity could allow the Jets to open up the offense more than they have so far this season, and Sanchez says if the coaches decide to go that way, he's ready -- and comfortable with the bulk of the Jets' playbook.

"I'm still working," Sanchez said. "But who knows? When you have a great team like we do and a confident rookie quarterback, it could work out real well for the squad."

-- Rachel Nichols

New faces coming up big for Colts: Just four years ago, Peyton Manning's offensive supporting cast included Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Brandon Stokley, Edgerrin James and Pro Bowl left tackle Tarik Glenn. Now all but Wayne are gone, replaced by the next generation of Colts stars.

In the final minutes of Monday night's 27-23 Week 2 win in Miami, Manning introduced a national audience to his new collection of weapons. First, unproven wide receiver Austin Collie converted a key third down. Then Collie threw an important downfield block on Pierre Garcon's winning 48-yard touchdown. Garcon is a second-year wideout from Mount Union who caught four passes all of last season.

Neither player had a catch until the fourth quarter.

While starting wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez is out with a knee injury, most of the balls will go to Wayne and Clark (and newly signed Hank Baskett), but Colts head coach Jim Caldwell expects Garcon and Collie to become a bigger part of the offense every week.

-- Bob Holtzman

Romo's struggles continue in Dallas: Tony Romo's inaccurate throws, poor decisions and failure to locate open receivers culminated in a big-stage loss to the Giants that reinforced all the doubt about him and perhaps created new skeptics. Romo seemed much improved at crisis management after the fifth three-interception game of his career, but game management remains a challenge for the Dallas quarterback.

Tony Romo

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Tony Romo threw three interceptions in the Cowboys' Week 2 loss to the Giants.

"When the games are close, you have to be smart with the football, and that has been a problem with Tony," Cowboys Hall of Fame quarterback Troy Aikman said this week. "I know the coaching staff is trying to eliminate those mistakes."

The problem is that Romo is a risk-taker by nature, and the Cowboys are asking him to play against his instincts. Now he needs to bounce back on "Monday Night Football" against the Carolina Panthers.

"Every player made mistakes in the game [Sunday]," head coach Wade Phillips said. "When he makes one, everyone sees it. And they are important to him. It is important to him. That's the key thing. It's very important to him, and he's going to try to do something about it."

Until he actually does something about it, there will be trying times for the Cowboys.

-- Ed Werder

Week 3: Numbers Crunching

by Aaron Schatz, FootballOutsiders.com


Each week, Football Outsiders takes a look at every game with a mix of interesting numbers and in-depth statistical analysis. Football Outsiders stats explained here. (All times Eastern)

Falcons at Patriots, 1 p.m.

Football Outsiders tracks five run directions (left and right end, left and right tackle and middle/guard). Last year, the Falcons' running game was best when running behind left tackle, where they ranked sixth in adjusted line yards. However, these also are the runs the Patriots are best at stopping. Last season, the Patriots ranked second in ALY against runs behind left tackle even though they were just 13th overall. So far this season, the Patriots are third in ALY against runs behind left tackle but 25th overall.

• More Falcons-Patriots: Intel Report

49ers at Vikings, 1 p.m.

Ready for a field-position mismatch? The average Vikings drive this season has started at Minnesota's 41-yard line, the best figure in the league. The average 49ers drive has started just past San Francisco's 26, which ranks 28th. The problem isn't special teams: San Francisco ranked third in FBO's special-teams ratings last season and ranks fourth so far this season.

• More 49ers-Vikings: Intel Report

Colts at Cardinals, 8:20 p.m.

This is not the game for superfancy defense. Last season, the Colts and Cardinals ranked 31st and 30th, respectively, in frequency of zone blitzes.

Last season, the Colts went three-wide more often than any other offense, while the Cardinals went four-wide more often than any other offense. (Note: This includes plays with Dallas Clark lined up in the slot.)

• More Colts-Cardinals: Intel Report

More Week 3 previews from Football Outsiders


ESPN Conversation

Fantasy Corner

Dallas Clark
Clark
    Week 3 flex rankings

    This might be the year of the tight ends. As I noted in blogs earlier this week, it's not just Dallas Clark who is off to a great start. I had a tough time narrowing my top 10 in the rankings at that position this week. I still think there are 14 or 15 tight ends who easily could be regarded as starters in a 10-team fantasy league. Well, that's part of the reason flex rankings can be really helpful. Jeremy Shockey didn't make my top 10 at tight end, but he makes the top 100 here. Compare his rank to that of one of your flex possibilities, such as the Baltimore Ravens' Le'Ron McClain or the Washington Redskins' Antwaan Randle El. You might be surprised.

    Anyway, let's get right to it, with the Week 3 flex rankings. Remember, we're talking standard leagues here but adding the twist of tight end flexibility.

    1. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings: Talk to me when Brett Favre has more passing yards than Peterson has rushing yards. Even then, I'll make Peterson first here every week until further notice.

    Complete Eric Karabell blog Insider

On This Week

Sunday, 11 a.m. ET

  • Jets coach Rex Ryan has defense in his genes. His father, Buddy, was the architect of the 1985 Bears' famed "46" defense. How similar are father and son as coaches? Rachel Nichols reports.
  • What could 2,500 tons of dirt and a 45-foot hill have to do with San Francisco's 2-0 start? Trent Dilfer asks the 49ers and "Mount Pain" designer Mike Singletary.
  • History calls Dwight Clark's winning touchdown in the 1982 NFC Championship Game "The Catch." But in the Mayne Event, Kenny Mayne tracks down some ex-49ers who want more credit for the play -- and a name change.
  • Chris Mortensen and Adam Schefter team up on Sunday Headlines and report all the latest news from the stadiums.

  • Follow all the happenings on Sunday Countdown on Twitter here.

Video

Chat Wrap

with Chris Mortensen

Chris Johnson
Johnson

Joe (Jersey): Which 0-2 team is most likely to make the playoffs?

Mort: I would say the Tennessee Titans are the best bet of the 0-2 teams. I think they probably beat the Jets this week. Chris Johnson can make those blitz teams pay dearly.

Dave (RI): Mort, I know Tom Brady was off last week but how much of it was not having Wes Welker? And shouldn't Bill Belichick be running the ball more to help get Brady more comfortable? One hundred passes in two games is alot.

Mort: Yes, I agree the Patriots should be committed to run more but I don't know if they can turn it on and off. My guess is they worked so hard this offseason getting Brady as comfortable as possible in the passing game that they have neglected the run part.

Kevin D (Cleveland): Hi Mort, what are your thoughts on Laurent Robinson. Can he continue what he's done in the first two weeks despite the ineptitude of the Rams' offense as a whole?

Mort: The Rams are fairly high on Robinson. That's why they traded for him. Looked very promising as a rookie in 2007 with the Falcons.

Sam (Saint Paul, MN): Can Adrian Peterson lead the Vikings to a division title, even without Brett Favre throwing the deep ball?

Mort: Considering Peterson led the Vikings to a division title last year, of course he can do it again. Favre will get some deep balls, I'm sure. But this is Peterson's team.

Cedric Benson
Benson

Greg (Rochester, NY): Cedric Benson has seemingly turned around his career in Cincy, running hard and making people miss. Why the sudden success?

Mort: Cedric Benson showed us this ability last year when the Bengals signed him. I think when you see production like this you have to remember that he was the fourth player taken in his draft, by the Bears. He was consensus first rounder. So, this is one chance the Bengals took that may pay off.

Complete chat transcript 

T.J.'s Take

by Tom Jackson

Belichick/Light
Brady, Pats facing must-win game

Atlanta at New England: After losing to the New York Jets, the Patriots face an unusually important game in Week 3. The Falcons are a team on a roll with one of the most balanced offenses in the NFL. QB Matt Ryan can spread the ball to several guys, all of whom have the ability to make defenses pay.

Matt Ryan
Ryan

The key question is how effective QB Tom Brady will be at moving the ball, scoring touchdowns and keeping the ball away from Atlanta. Against the Jets, Brady was constantly pressured and completed only 49 percent of his passes. However, Atlanta does not have a strong pass rush. If Brady is comfortable, it could be a long day for the Falcons.

The regular season is played in quarters. Four groups of four games. Heading into Week 3, this now becomes a defining game. The Falcons have a chance to get off to a great start at 3-0. The Patriots have a chance to get back on track after two lackluster performances. For one team, the tone will be set, I believe, for the rest of the season.

Complete Week 3 coverage