Is Brady best ever? Not yet, but time is on his side
While seven seasoned evaluators placed Tom Brady solidly in the top 10 quarterbacks of all time, Johnny Unitas consistently ranked higher than any other QB, Mike Sando writes.
- Tony Tomsic/Jed Jacobsohn/Jim Rogash/Getty ImagesIn an ESPN.com poll of seasoned NFL talent evaluators, Hall of Famers Johnny Unitas and Joe Montana rated highest, followed by Tom Brady.Tom Brady's charge up the list of all-time great NFL quarterbacks will only accelerate if his New England Patriots prevail in Super Bowl XLII. Already a three-time Super Bowl champion, Brady is coming off the finest regular season an NFL quarterback has ever enjoyed, whether measured by won-lost record or overall statistics. The debate about which quarterback ranks No. 1 in NFL history might one day begin and end with Brady, but we're not to that point -- yet. While seven seasoned evaluators placed Brady solidly in the top 10, Johnny Unitas consistently ranked higher than any other quarterback. Joe Montana was second, followed by Brady, Dan Marino, Peyton Manning, John Elway, Terry Bradshaw, Brett Favre, Otto Graham and Dan Fouts. "To try to say who was the greatest would be an injustice to so many others," said Marv Levy, the former Buffalo Bills coach who recently retired from his position as the team's general manager.
Top 10 QBs of All TimeMarv Levy, Art Rooney Jr., Zeke Bratkowski, Ken Meyer, Larry Kennan, James Harris and Dick Haley helped ESPN.com evaluate the best quarterbacks in NFL history. ESPN.com weighed their contributions, balancing rankings with anecdotal evidence, to create the following list. OVERALL
1. Johnny Unitas
2. Joe Montana
3. Tom Brady
4. Dan Marino
5. Peyton Manning
6. John Elway
7. Terry Bradshaw
8. Brett Favre
9. Otto Graham
10. Dan Fouts
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Meyer, Bratkowski, Kennan, Levy and Haley spoke at length about quarterbacks and what makes them great. Meyer declined to provide a top 10 list, but all panelists placed Brady among the greats, assuming he remains productive.
ESPN.com weighed their contributions, balancing rankings with anecdotal evidence, in an effort to create the best possible rankings. We sift through their contributions below.Getty ImagesFrom left, few QBs had as quick a release as Dan Marino; Peyton Manning is a master of the play-action fake; John Elway could scramble to one sideline, set and throw across the field with pinpoint accuracy.ACCURACY
Where Brady fits: Experts ranked him among the five most accurate passers; some thought he might be the most accurate in NFL history.
Quarterbacks can be many things, but if they're not accurate, they won't last long."I've seen so many strong-armed guys go through our league and never make a dent because they just were not accurate enough and it took them too long to throw it," Haley said. Accuracy mattered long before Bill Walsh's short-passing offense took hold in San Francisco nearly 30 years ago, but the proliferation of similar offenses has heightened its value. Walsh's offense relied more heavily on receivers gaining yards after the catch. That meant quarterbacks needed to hit receivers in stride. Few passers could place a ball more perfectly than Walsh's hand-picked quarterback. In 1989, Montana completed 70.2 percent of his passes while averaging 9.1 yards per attempt, nearly a yard more per attempt than Brady has averaged this season. "On a hook route, which the West Coast offense is noted for, there are times when you need to hit the left shoulder or the right shoulder because the defender is close on the other shoulder, so you throw it a little bit inside or a little bit outside," Kennan said. "And I thought Montana was phenomenal at that." Montana completed 63.2 percent of his passes for his career. Brady has completed 63 percent, including nearly 69 percent this season. Montana's successor, Young, completed 64.3 percent. "Another route that is really difficult to throw is when the running back runs parallel to the line of scrimmage and you have to turn and throw it to him in the backfield and make it an accurate throw," Kennan said. "Montana was uncannily accurate with that. He threw it about a foot in front of the receiver, who caught it on the dead run and gained 15 yards, where if he threw it a little bit behind him, it would have gained 3 yards."
Where Brady fits: Experts lauded Brady for adjusting velocity as needed. They did not consider him a hard thrower in the tradition of Bradshaw or Elway.
Bradshaw and Elway might have thrown harder than any of the other great quarterbacks. Aikman could, and Favre can, fire downfield without many limitations."They could throw it as far as they wanted, as hard as they wanted, with very little effort," Haley said. Receivers who caught Elway's passes against their chests instead of with their hands suffered markings left by the tip of the ball. The so-called "Elway cross" became part of the quarterback's legend. Bradshaw once threw a pass in practice that bounced off the turf, traveled off the field and struck Rooney in the lower leg. The impact, although dampened by having struck the ground, left a nasty welt. "I've never met a quarterback who doesn't say, 'Oh, I could have gotten that one in there,'" Meyer said. "Bradshaw was a guy who could throw it in there and get it in there. He was a powerful, powerful thrower." Velocity means more than simply throwing the ball hard or over long distances. Haley recalled watching Marino come up surprisingly short during a televised skills competition featuring deep throws. Not that it mattered. "Throwing from point A to point B, 20 or 25 yards, probably nobody got it there quicker because [of] the release quickness and the velocity through the short and medium areas," Haley said. "If you threw it early like Stabler or Marino, they didn't have to throw it 70 yards. They threw it when it had to be thrown, and that's what it's all about."
Where Brady fits: Brady gets rid of the ball quickly and his motion is efficient, experts said, but they did not consider him one of the great quick-release quarterbacks.
Marino and Namath set the standard in this category, which Kennan defined as "the time between when you make the decision to throw and the ball actually leaves your hand."Quarterbacks with quick releases can hold the ball longer, giving their receivers more time to get open. Just as Joe Louis could knock out an opponent with a 6-inch punch, quarterbacks with quick releases can fire the ball without much of a windup. "When Marino came out in the draft, the same year that Elway and Kelly and that group came out, a lot of people said, 'Boy, he's got a funny motion, and we're going to have to change it,'" Kennan said. "He had the ultimate quick release, and you couldn't sack him."
Where Brady fits: Experts gave Brady high marks in this category, but he has plenty of company.
Levy, who earned an advanced degree from Harvard, described the Columbia-educated Luckman as a brilliant man who made the T-formation what it has become.Numerous others have played the position with intelligence, but brainpower doesn't always translate to football smarts. "It isn't test score, it isn't book intelligence," Haley said. "Some of those guys, they've just got a feel for the whole thing, and they read [defenses] faster than anybody; they throw it quick, and it's out and it's there, and nobody has moved on the other side of that line."
Where Brady fits: Experts struggled to find a quarterback with better mechanics. Brady clearly ranks among the very best.
Mechanics aren't everything. Layne, Baugh and more than a few old-timers delivered the ball with wild throwing motions. The passing game was in its infancy. Teams didn't employ quarterbacks coaches.A low release point didn't stop Sonny Jurgensen from passing for more than 30,000 yards during a Hall of Fame career with the Philadelphia Eagles and the Washington Redskins. Favre sometimes delivers the ball with accuracy despite stepping awkwardly to the side or retreating. Marino could do that, too. They are the exceptions. "If you look at the great ones, that ball is in the middle of their chest [when they drop back and prepare to throw]," Bratkowski said. "The top of the ball is at the top edge of the numbers because now they can athletically move in any direction." Brady's mechanics might be as sound as those of any quarterback of any era, experts agreed. Kennan singled out Ken Anderson and Steve DeBerg as quarterbacks known for strong fundamentals. Montana, Young and Starr also stood out as technicians, as did Kelly. "I have recall of Joe Montana throwing that touchdown pass in that two-minute thing against the [Cincinnati Bengals] in the Super Bowl, a slant route to John Taylor, who was in the slot," Bratkowski said. "Every time I looked at it, I looked at Joe's feet, and he came off of his foot rhythm and threw the ball perfect for a touchdown. That's what it takes, time after time after time. You deviate, and you are in trouble."Getty ImagesFrom left, Terry Bradhaw was known for his rocket arm; Brett Favre is a master improvisor; Otto Graham was a star in the early days of the NFL; Dan Fouts was a master of the skinny post.ROUTE OWNERSHIP
Where Brady fits: Brady throws every route with accuracy, but experts did not single out a specific one.
Luckman, Baugh and Bob Waterfield set the early standard for the deep ball. Van Brocklin, Bradshaw, Namath and Daryle Lamonica took over from there.Aikman's ability to throw any route perfectly produced what scouts still consider the finest predraft workout by a quarterback in NFL history, a performance that cemented Aikman's status as the first overall choice in 1989. Elway could scramble to one side, stop, set his feet and throw back across the field before defenders could react. Levy singled out Marino for throwing comeback routes as well as anybody, but there have been others.
Like the traits listed in this story, most of these categories defy quantification. But when asked to name names, ESPN.com's QB panel singled out the very best across these categories:Strongest arm:Terry Bradshaw
Most accurate: Tom Brady, Joe Montana, Peyton Manning
Best no-huddle quarterback:Jim Kelly
Prettiest spiral: Warren Moon
Best pocket passer: Troy Aikman
Best scrambler: Fran Tarkenton
Best running quarterback: Steve Young, Michael Vick
Best play-action fakes: Johnny Unitas, Steve DeBerg, Boomer Esiason, Peyton Manning
Fieriest leader: Norm Van Brocklin
Coolest customer: Roger Staubach
Ultimate gunslingers: Bobby Layne, Brett Favre
Most efficient: Bart Starr
Most durable: Brett Favre
Where Brady fits: No quarterback has shown less mercy than Brady this season, but panelists did not provide detailed rankings for this category.
The great ones know when to go for the kill.Haley recalled the time Unitas, calling his own plays, dialed up a risky slant to Lenny Moore in a short-yardage situation when the slightest misfire would have meant losing the game. The play produced a Baltimore touchdown. "It was fourth-and-short; you think they gotta run it," Haley said. "For somebody to have the nerve to throw the ball, because they are going to lose the game if he misses it -- I said to myself, 'No one would do that. You can't afford to make those kinds of decisions in that part of the field with the game on the line.'" You couldn't afford to make those decisions, but Unitas could. Fouts also knew when to pounce. "I thought Dan understood tempo better than any quarterback I've ever seen," Kennan said. "He was an absolute killer when he got you on the run. "He got in and out of the huddle quickly. He knew he had you on the run, he snapped the ball on the first snap, he threw it and he knew when he had you and he went for the jugular and he got you."
Where Brady fits: He is the only quarterback in NFL history to lead game-winning drives in the fourth quarters of three Super Bowls. That includes two winning drives in the final two minutes.
Long before every NFL playbook covered every aspect of the two-minute offense, Bobby Layne willed the Detroit Lions to victory when time wasn't on their side."He could make two minutes last for an hour," Bratkowski said. Football was far less complex in those days. "Layne and Unitas were the first great two-minute guys, before it got real well-coached," Kennan said. "They just figured it out. And they willed the team to win in that two-minute drill." Starr's memorable winning drive through sub-freezing temperatures delivered Green Bay over the Dallas Cowboys in the Ice Bowl in the 1967 NFL Championship Game. Elway's efforts during "The Drive" came to define his career as well as the Cleveland Browns' inability to win big games during the 1980s. Montana followed suit later in the decade with the drive that beat the Bengals in Super Bowl XXIII. "There is a certain awareness that the good ones have, of the situation and the handling of it," Bratkowski said.
Where Brady fits: Preparation is one of his strengths. Sixth-round draft choices generally don't become future Hall of Famers without putting in effort, experts said.
Panelists were reluctant to evaluate the work ethics of quarterbacks they didn't coach or work with directly. Layne and Stabler were notorious partiers, but they also played before defenses became so complex. Their undeniable ability to "play cards" -- on and off the field -- might have carried them through.All the great ones worked hard in their own ways. Layne was widely known as a world-class carouser during his days with the Lions in the 1950s, but his practice habits were apparently commendable. "He would keep anyone that would stay on the practice field afterward to catch," said Haley, who played for Pittsburgh when Layne was the Steelers' quarterback in the early 1960s. "Here he had been out all night, but he would keep those guys after, and he loved to play football." Bratkowski holds a special appreciation for hard work after watching Starr go from 17th-round draft choice to NFL legend. "If you don't work at it, you are not going to succeed," he said. "The Tom Bradys of the word are the first ones there and the last to leave."
Where Brady fits: Panelists did not rank Brady among the elite in this category, but neither did they consider it a weakness.
Most great quarterbacks could move well enough to avoid trouble.Some could flat-out fly. Among the greats, Young graded out as the best pure runner. Tarkenton, Staubach and Elway were among the best scramblers. "When the plays did not work, Staubach made something out of it," Kennan said. "I think that is the ultimate thing for a quarterback. What does a quarterback do when the play gets screwed up? That makes guys either get run out of the league or in the Hall of Fame." Elway stood out in his ability to scramble, then strike deep downfield with accuracy. Defenders had a hard time dragging him down when he ran.
At least 15 or 20 quarterbacks reasonably could qualify for inclusion on the top 10 list. Panelists struggled to differentiate between quarterbacks of divergent eras."You can put up a list like that, and no one can dispute it with any authority," Haley said. "Certain guys stick out in my mind, and I'm sure certain ones stick out for Kenny Meyer or other guys who have coached or scouted or looked at guys for as long as we have." The game continues to evolve, significantly affecting the value of specific skills. Years ago, quarterbacks worked hard to perfect the reverse pivot moves needed to execute wide tosses from split backfields. They called their own plays and threw to receivers who faced bump-and-run coverage all over the field. The money wasn't always great, forcing players to hold down jobs during the offseason, but they still got together for informal workouts. Modern-day quarterbacks face complex defenses, putting more emphasis on study habits and quick thinking. Free agency has kept quarterbacks and receivers from staying together as long, at the expense of teamwork. For as much as the game has changed, the essence of the position has remained the same from Y.A. Tittle and George Blanda to Len Dawson, Warren Moon and the rest. A great quarterback must be an accurate passer. He must make the right decisions under pressure. He must work at his craft. And he needs that extra something. "It's not the techniques you have, it's not the ability to scramble or something like that," Meyer said. "Basically, it's an ability to be a winning-type person in that position." Mike Sando covers the NFL for ESPN.com
Ken Meyer Born: July 14, 1925 Credentials:QB, Denison (Ohio) University, 1947 to 1949...Coached Joe Namath and Ken Stabler at Alabama under Bear Bryant...Served as the Los Angeles Rams' offensive coordinator when the team led the NFL with 4,906 yards in 1973. The Rams posted a 44-11 record with Meyer on staff...Coached for New York (Jets), San Francisco and Seattle, also serving one year as 49ers head coach...Works as part-time scout for Kansas City. Zeke Bratkowski Born: Oct. 20, 1931 Credentials: All-America quarterback at Georgia in the early 1950s...Played for George Halas and Vince Lombardi during 14-year NFL career as quarterback and punter for Chicago, Los Angeles (Rams) and Green Bay...Passed for 248 yards in relief of injured Bart Starr to help the Packers beat Baltimore in the 1965 Western Conference Championship...A member of the Packers Hall of Fame, Bratkowski coached quarterbacks and worked as offensive coordinator for numerous NFL teams...Works with NFL prospects and other young quarterbacks. Larry Kennan Born: June 13, 1944 Credentials: Played quarterback at La Verne (Calif.) College in the 1960s...Coached quarterbacks for the Los Angeles Raiders from 1982 to 1987, collecting a Super Bowl ring following the 1983 season...Served as an offensive assistant for Denver, Indianapolis, New England and Seattle...Trains quarterbacks for the scouting combine and serves as executive director of the NFL Coaches Association. James "Shack" Harris Born: July 20, 1947 Credentials: Played quarterback at Grambling under Eddie Robinson...Played quarterback for Buffalo, Los Angeles (Rams) and San Diego during a 12-year NFL career, earning MVP honors at the Pro Bowl following the 1974 season...Founding member of Field Generals: The African-American Quarterbacks Club...Assistant general manager of the New York Jets from 1993 to 1996. Pro personnel director for the Baltimore Ravens from 1997 to 2002...Serves as vice president of player personnel for Jacksonville. Marv Levy Born:Aug. 3, 1925 Credentials: Coached at the college level through the 1950s and 1960s before breaking into the NFL with Philadelphia in 1969...Served as an assistant with Los Angeles (Rams), Washington, Kansas City and Buffalo before becoming the Bills' head coach in 1986, leading the franchise to four Super Bowl appearances...Spent five seasons as a CFL head coach in Montreal during the 1970s...Member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame...Served as the Bills' general manager in 2006 and 2007...Retired this year.. Art Rooney Jr. Born: Oct. 18, 1935 Credentials:Served as the Pittsburgh Steelers' vice president for player personnel from 1971 to 1987...Oversaw famed 1974 draft class featuring four future Hall of Famers...Son of the legendary Steelers founder...Remains a Steelers vice president. Dick Haley Born: Oct. 2, 1937 Credentials: Played defensive back for Washington, Minnesota and Pittsburgh during a six-year NFL career beginning in 1959...Began scouting career with BLESTO service in 1966...Worked in the Pittsburgh Steelers' personnel department from 1971 to 1990...Has worked in the New York Jets' personnel department since 1991 in a variety of capacities, currently as a consultant.
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