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Saturday picks

Updated: March 3, 2006, 4:30 PM ET
By Ed McNamara | Special to ESPN.com

When America's Race fell apart in midstretch, the 50-1 shot ended up being the last horse standing. The result of the 2005 Kentucky Derby screamed "Fluke!" the morning after, and it still does. Never forget that to win the most hyped race on the planet, you don't have to be a world-beater.

In three races since, Giacomo has done nothing to suggest that he's an important horse. He's 2-for-11 lifetime, a plodder who usually improves his position late without ever looking like a winner. Afleet ...

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