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Playing with the numbers: Disproving a cold-weather theory

Updated: November 7, 2007, 6:55 PM ET
By Ken Daube | Special to ESPN.com

Every year I get similar e-mails right about now from owners who are sitting 5-4 or 4-5 and are trying to figure out how to ensure their team gets to the playoffs. Their e-mails usually begin like this: "With the colder weather now upon us, teams obviously will shift their focus to the running game. Because of this, do you think it's wise for me to trade (insert name of elite wide receiver and fringe No. 2/flex running back here) for (solid No. 2 running back and No. 3 fantasy receiver)?"

It ...

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