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Sowing the Seeds: Picking the upsets

Updated: March 15, 2010, 6:00 PM ET
By AJ Mass | Special to ESPN.com

Which team will be this year's Cleveland State? How can we tell if the Cinderella slipper will fit?

The most important round in your tournament bracket is the first round. Because there are 32 games, there always will be a few upsets. If you pick the right ones (the ones nobody else does) and avoid selecting against eventual Final Four teams, you've got a huge leg up on the rest of the competition. But basketball is not an exact science, and No. 15 seeds Hampton, Richmond and Santa Clara ...

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