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Trendspotting: Frank Gore's targets

Updated: September 29, 2010, 5:49 PM ET
By Ken Daube | Special to ESPN.com

It amazes me that so many NFL coaches don't understand that using probability statistics can be a positive for your team. Green Bay Packers coach Mike McCarthy can now be added to that list. According to ESPN Stats & Information, the Packers had an 8 percent chance of winning their Monday night game against the Chicago Bears if they would have allowed Matt Forte to score on his first-down run with 1:44 remaining compared with the 2 percent chance they had by permitting the Bears to attempt a ...

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