HorseplayerPro: Nose to Nose
It's the world of chat, and we're horse-playing in it. This week, ESPN.com contributing columnist Jeremy Plonk (JayPea) and fellow HorsePlayerPro.com analysts Joe Kristufek (DaKAttack) and Tim Turrell (TimmyT) samba in cyberspace.
Thursday, April 17TimmyT (4:01:04 PM): Okay, guys, the last stop on the Road to the Kentucky Derby is this weekend at Keeneland in the Coolmore Lexington Stakes, what are your Keno Numbers -- I mean, "picks"?
TimmyT (4:01:50 PM): Or am I being too harsh on horses running over plastic?
DaKAttack (4:03:10 PM): bam, $10 winner and a COLD TRI at Hawthorne
DaKAttack (4:03:25 PM): sorry
TimmyT (4:03:57 PM): Nicely done, now give me the same thing for the Lexington!
DaKAttack (4:04:05 PM): Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!
DaKAttack (4:04:38 PM): I'd have a better chance of predicting the Chicago weather for next February
TimmyT (4:04:41 PM): Don't tell me Salute The Sarge!....they'll need a taxi waiting for him at the 1/8th pole!
DaKAttack (4:04:56 PM): You're keying him in your Supers, huh
TimmyT (4:05:07 PM): Negative
DaKAttack (4:05:12 PM): If you twisted my arm really hard and forced me to make a pick...........
DaKAttack (4:05:14 PM): ATONED
TimmyT (4:06:40 PM): BINGO!!
DaKAttack (4:06:40 PM): He didn't get a fair shake in the Illinois Derby
DaKAttack (4:06:40 PM): Pletcher horses like to eat plastic
DaKAttack (4:06:40 PM): He did run one-two in the Blue Grass ya know
TimmyT (4:06:40 PM): Atoned four consecutive runner-ups in stakes races before the Ill Derby
TimmyT (4:06:40 PM): I can tell you, he looks GREAT over the track here at Keeneland....he's on the muscle!
DaKAttack (4:06:40 PM): So you're telling me we agree in a Polytrack race at Keeneland?
DaKAttack (4:06:40 PM): Now you know we've got no shot
TimmyT (4:06:40 PM): Yeah, that's not good....
JayPea (4:09:51 PM): sorry I'm late
DaKAttack (4:10:21 PM): Nice of you to show up JP....that's a good one
JayPea (4:10:22 PM): what did I miss, Joe picking another 8/5 shot?
TimmyT (4:10:22 PM): Actually, you missed Joe AND Tim picking an 8-5 shot!
DaKAttack (4:10:28 PM): 8-5?
TimmyT (4:10:28 PM): I'll say 3-1 favorite!
TimmyT (4:10:29 PM): 5-2 minimum!
JayPea (4:10:31 PM): I just got back from a trip to the mechanic/proctologist --- $630 for new tires...maybe that's why I'm in love with Racecar Rhapsody
DaKAttack (4:10:31 PM): in love?
JayPea (4:10:32 PM): smelled too much motor oil for last 3 hours
TimmyT (4:10:32 PM): That conjures up scary images in my head!
JayPea (4:10:53 PM): the move RR made on the turn in the Lane's End is worth a second look, lads
DaKAttack (4:11:00 PM): see, he WAS watching racing videos
TimmyT (4:11:12 PM): Well, the price will be right, that's for sure!
TimmyT (4:11:26 PM): And I do like the fact that Robby Albarado stays
JayPea (4:11:29 PM): your boy Atoned has an aversion for finishing...Poly doesn't smile on that
DaKAttack (4:12:12 PM): well, Pletcher also has Behindatthebar, and he likes eating carpet too
JayPea (4:12:28 PM): that's Pletcher's best shot if you asked me
DaKAttack (4:12:28 PM): Pletcher runs one-two again
DaKAttack (4:12:33 PM): And doesn't get a sniff in the Derby....again
DaKAttack (4:12:34 PM): Well, maybe Monba..............
TimmyT (4:12:35 PM): Amazing that before last week, Pletcher was down to nothing....now he could conceivably have FOUR in the Derby!
JayPea (4:13:36 PM): whatever you do, do not discount Big Glen
JayPea (4:13:37 PM): he's the only horse in the race because he should be
JayPea (4:13:59 PM): everyone else is trying to find Louisville with a roadmap and a flashlight....Frankie Brothers knows Glen is this level
DaKAttack (4:14:32 PM): JP, were you throwing darts again?
JayPea (4:14:45 PM): I'm just sayin.....
JayPea (4:14:56 PM): find the HORSE who belongs, not the OWNER who wants to belong
TimmyT (4:15:13 PM): Atoned DEFINITELY belongs!
TimmyT (4:15:22 PM): he finished 2nd in FOUR consecutive stakes races!
JayPea (4:15:50 PM): Yeah, and he's running back on 2 weeks' rest because they want to run in the Derby, dude
JayPea (4:15:54 PM): Atoned belongs in the barn this weekend, and if the Derby wasn't May 3, no way in Hades he'd even be entered
DaKAttack (4:15:59 PM): Speaking of fire and brimstone .... Pyro was horrible on the same track last week, you guys allowing a mulligan?
TimmyT (4:16:16 PM): I feel Pyro was overrated going in, and all he has done is validate that opinion. You can run bad on Poly and use that as an excuse, but you can't run THAT bad.....Street Sense got beat here too, but he still FIRED!
TimmyT (4:16:40 PM): I'm TOTALLY out on Pyro, let him beat me....plus, I think when horses lose that bad it takes some of the starch out of them
JayPea (4:16:47 PM): I don't care how overrated you think Pyro was, there's no way you thought he was 10th in that race
JayPea (4:17:08 PM): so don't come with the "I told ya so's"
TimmyT (4:17:08 PM): I didn't think he was 10th, no....but I didn't like him...and STILL don't!
DaKAttack (4:17:31 PM): Pyro's run was a complete puzzler, but if you like him, the price goes way up in the Derby
TimmyT (4:17:39 PM): You know who I like, and if he won by five lengths, he can't warm up Big Brown!
DaKAttack (4:17:47 PM): Let's see how Pyro trains at Churchill
JayPea (4:17:55 PM): he ran 1/100th of his ability at Keeneland
DaKAttack (4:18:03 PM): I'd like Big Brown too if I had him at 150-1 in Vegas
JayPea (4:18:13 PM): Pyro may not win the Derby, but it doesn't take Mike Watchmaker to predict that
TimmyT (4:18:16 PM): He was flattered by terrible horses at Fair Grounds
JayPea (4:18:36 PM): the same terrible horses who came back to win the Wood and Bay Shore and run second in the Ark Derby?
TimmyT (4:18:36 PM): Yes, Big Brown beat nobody either, but it's the WAY he did it!
DaKAttack (4:19:03 PM): um, are you two saying, the, um, crop isn't very good?
TimmyT (4:19:12 PM): Who says I like ANYTHING coming out of the Wood or Ark Derby!?
DaKAttack (4:19:23 PM): TOUCHE
DaKAttack (4:19:28 PM): I'll leave now
DaKAttack (4:19:31 PM): Just IMed PamAnderson302 and told her to bring the mud
TimmyT (4:19:33 PM): I like two horses! Big Brown and Colonel John
JayPea (4:19:33 PM): If Tomcito wins the Lexington by 5, we'll feel much better about the horses Big Brown beat
DaKAttack (4:20:09 PM): haaaaaaaaaaaa TOMCITO by 5.............that's the best one yet, I'm stayin'!
TimmyT (4:20:12 PM): Tomcito is a slug!...and if he runs 10th, it won't make me feel ANY less about Big Brown
DaKAttack (4:20:20 PM): Time out!
DaKAttack (4:20:41 PM): Eight Belles...........in.............the Derby?
JayPea (4:20:53 PM): If she is, she'll run 18th
TimmyT (4:20:54 PM): If they were smart, hell no!
TimmyT (4:21:02 PM): But she's owned by a used car salesman!
TimmyT (4:21:12 PM): So they're probably going to run!
DaKAttack (4:21:22 PM): but wait
DaKAttack (4:21:29 PM): the figures tell us she fits
TimmyT (4:21:35 PM): On paper she fits, absolutely
DaKAttack (4:21:40 PM): it's a slooooow crop, remember
DaKAttack (4:21:47 PM): she could be Winning Colors or Rags to Riches
JayPea (4:21:48 PM): Watch her races - she throws her head around every time....she was unprepared at start of Fantasy in a 4-horse field
TimmyT (4:21:54 PM): But if I owned her, I'd run in the Kentucky Oaks and be 6-5
JayPea (4:21:55 PM): do that against 19 others and see where you end up
DaKAttack (4:22:20 PM): She tosses her head around cause she wants to run
JayPea (4:22:21 PM): Joe, it didn't take Winning Colors 6 starts to clear her non-winners of 2
TimmyT (4:22:36 PM): Good point, JP....
DaKAttack (4:22:38 PM): trust me
DaKAttack (4:22:47 PM): a filly should never run against the boys
DaKAttack (4:22:58 PM): unless she's proven herself superior against the girls
JayPea (4:23:09 PM): If she breaks anywhere like she did in the Fantasy, it won't matter, man
JayPea (4:23:21 PM): She will be bounced around, cut and battered before they get under the wire the first time
TimmyT (4:23:24 PM): Larry Jones has ZERO interest in running in the Derby....if she runs, it's because he was FORCED to enter her
DaKAttack (4:23:33 PM): just playing devil's advocate here
JayPea (4:23:46 PM): hey, Rick Porter is the same owner who fired John Servis --- I'm just sayin....
TimmyT (4:23:50 PM): Plus, like all the rest, they don't want any part of Big Brown
JayPea (4:24:04 PM): Tim, settle down on your 9/5 shots
TimmyT (4:24:22 PM): He's 150-1 on my tickets!
DaKAttack (4:24:26 PM): JP, not sure you got enough air in those new tires
JayPea (4:24:39 PM): Been that kinda week.......

Get more handicapping picks, analysis and tools at Horseplayerpro.com!
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE HORSE RACING HEADLINES
- Ascot: Animal Kingdom fades in Queen Anne
- Royal Ascot: Dawn Approach outruns Toronado
- Sole Power takes tight finish in King's Stand
- Verrazano takes Pegasus; Itsmyluckyday pulled up